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ELECTIONS

French elections: Will parties withdraw candidates to block the far right?

The unusual two-round voting system used in French elections means that the second round of voting is crucial - and this can be influenced if certain groups withdraw their candidates.

French elections: Will parties withdraw candidates to block the far right?
Leader of left-wing party La France Isoumise (LFI), part of left-wing coalition Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP), Jean-Luc Melenchon (C) on Sunday called left-wing candidates to help block the far right. (Photo by Dimitar DILKOFF / AFP)

The final results for round one of voting, released early on Monday morning, showed the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) party well in the lead with 33.4 percent of the votes. They were followed by the alliance of leftist parties, called the Nouveau Front Populaire on 28 percent, Macron’s centrist group Ensemble on 20.8 percent, and the right-wing Les Republicains party on 10.2 percent.

Initial projections for the second round show that Marine Le Pen’s far right Rassemblement National party could pick up anything between 255 and 295 seats. The party would need 289 seats to win a majority in parliament. But there are plenty of twists and turns ahead.

Follow the latest on the results HERE.

But now all eyes have moved to the second round of voting – to be held on July 7th – and in particular what action the different parties will take in order to try and block the far right from winning a majority.

In some areas the second round will come down to a two-horse race, but because of the high turnout in these elections there are an unusually high number of three-person second round votes, known as a triangulaire.

In total there are 190 two-person second round races, 303 three-person contests and five four-person races. A handful of candidates also won their seat outright in the first round, meaning that no second round takes places. Among the outright winners were Marine Le Pen and socialist leader Olivier Faure.

Most of these three-way run-off will take place between a candidate of the far-right, one of the left alliance and a centrist.

But candidates can withdraw between rounds, in particular to avoid splitting the anti-far right vote for example if centrists and leftist stood aside for each other.

Here’s what the parties are saying;

READ MORE: French elections: What happens next as far-right lead in round one?

The left

In a bid to keep out the far right, the leftist alliance known as Nouveau Front Populaire said it would withdraw candidates who finished third in the first round.

“Our instructions are clear: not one more vote, not one more seat for the RN”, said one of the group leaders, Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

Laurent Berger, former head of the moderate CFDT union echoed Mélenchon, writing on X: “Tonight, our democracy and our republican values are at stake with the RN (Rassemblement National) at the gates of power.

“No vote should be missing from the Republican stand-off. In the face of danger, the ‘neither-nor’ option is out of the question. It is imperative to block the extreme right.”

Raphaël Glucksmann, MEP and head of the Parti Socialiste list during the European elections, urged in a press release that third-place candidates to withdraw.

“History is watching us and judging us”, he wrote, calling for there to be a “clear vote against RN candidates”.

Marine Tondelier, the head of the Green Party (Les Écologistes), called on Macronist candidates to follow the same playbook as members of the left-wing.

“It would be incomprehensible for some people to continue not to differentiate between the left and the far right.” She called on “centrist candidates to withdraw if you are in third place in three-way ties.”

READ MORE: Explained: The big names and main parties in France’s snap elections

The Centre

French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, a member of President Macron’s party Renaissance, said on Sunday night: “We have the sincere conviction that we are fighting a just, strong, necessary and indispensable battle.

“Tonight is not a night like any other: the far right is at the gates of power. Our objective is clear: to prevent the RN from having an absolute majority and therefore from governing the country with the disastrous agenda it has in mind. Not a single vote must go to the Rassemblement National. France requires that we do not hesitate.”

The PM added that candidates from the presidential majority who came in third and whose “continued participation in the race would result in the election of an RN candidate should withdraw to support another candidate who defends the values ​​of the Republic like us”.

One candidate from the Macronist coalition, Albane Branlant, who came in third place in the first constituency of the Somme département, announced that she would withdraw “in the face of the risk posed by the Rassemblement National”.

Branlant competed in the same district as left-wing MP François Ruffin. She added: “I recognise the difference between political adversaries and the enemies of the Republic”, Le Monde reported.

Nevertheless, the prime minister’s words differed from comments made a few hours earlier by the  minister for equality and member of Renaissance, Aurore Bergé, who told BFMTV that the party would not commit to pulling out third-place candidates.

“I don’t want to say this evening that whatever happens we will withdraw.”

Bergé specified that the Macron alliance would “look on a case-by-case basis, constituency by constituency, to see which ‘Republican force’ can win”, adding that that may be members of the Les Republicains party, or other left-wing groups including the Parti Socialiste, Greens and “maybe even LFI candidates”.

As for Édouard Philippe, the head of the centrist Horizons party and mayor of Le Havre, he called on members of his party who came in third place to withdraw to avoid the election of RN or LFI MPs.

“No vote should be cast for the RN or LFI camps, with whom we differ not just on programmes, but on fundamental values,” he said.

“I propose that Horizons candidates who come third and whose presence in the second round, with no hope of victory, could encourage the election of a candidate from the extremes, withdraw in favour of candidates and parties with whom we share the same democratic and republican demands (…) Our country is full of resources, it knows how to react before it falls into the abyss”.

The Right

Obviously the far-right Rassemblement National itself will not withdraw to avoid a far-right victory, but the question is potentially more difficult for the right-wing Les Républicains party.

Formerly a party of the centre right (which produced presidents Jacques Chirac and Nicolas Sarkozy), the party is these days much reduced and has moved sharply to the right.

Party leader Eric Ciotti formed an election alliance with Rassemblement National, which ended up splitting his own party – some candidates standing as part of the alliance as ‘Les amis de Ciotti’ and others standing on a non-aligned rightwing platform.

Eric Ciotti, who remains leader despite efforts to oust him, said on Sunday: “I call on all the Republicans to follow the path of unity that I have opened up. He added that Les Republicains “must participate in the unity of the entire right (…) faced with the far left, the threat is too serious, the danger is too great”.

However, the part members who split with Ciotti over his pact also don’t seem to be planning on withdrawing candidates from a three-way race.

“The danger facing our country today is the far left”, said François-Xavier Bellamy, head of the Les Républicains list for the European elections.

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ELECTIONS

France braces for crunch election as overseas territories kick off vote

France on Saturday prepared for its most consequential legislative election of recent times, with residents of overseas territories opening voting for a poll expected to give the far right its biggest ever presence in parliament.

France braces for crunch election as overseas territories kick off vote

A traditional final day pause was observed on Saturday ahead of Sunday’s second round runoff after a frenetic campaign that saw tensions rise across the country and dozens of attacks on candidates.

Underlining France’s global footprint that spans the oceans of the world, the first French region to vote was Saint Pierre and Miquelon, a small French archipelago off the coast of Canada where citizens began voting from 1000 GMT.

They were followed by residents of French Caribbean territories including Martinique and Guadeloupe as well as Guiana in South America.

French Pacific territories come next before people in mainland France cast their ballots from 0600 GMT on Sunday.

Polls will close by 1800 GMT on Sunday when projections of seat numbers — regarded in France as a firm indicator of the final outcome — are published.

‘Catastrophic’

Final opinion polls on Friday suggested that far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) would fall short of winning an outright 289 seat majority in the 577-member National Assembly while being the largest party ahead of the New Popular Front (NFP) left-wing coalition.

Yet President Emmanuel Macron’s gamble in calling snap elections could end with his centrist alliance having approximately half the number of deputies it had before the elections and the RN double.

The final opinion polls published by two organisations Friday projected the RN would win between 170-210 seats, followed by the New Popular Front left-wing coalition on 145-185 seats and Macron’s centrists on 118-150 seats.

Macron now faces the final three years of his presidency with no clear ruling majority, and Prime Minister Gabriel Attal perhaps trying to hold together a caretaker government.

READ ALSO: How to follow all the latest French election news in English on Sunday

“Today the danger is a majority dominated by the extreme right and that would be catastrophic,” Attal said in a final pre-election interview with French television on Friday.

Le Pen insists that she is still on course for victory and an absolute majority that would force Macron to appoint her 28-year-old lieutenant Jordan Bardella as prime minister.

Attal vowed to stay on “as long as necessary” in a caretaker role, while Macron’s office is studying options to maintain some form of government.

Not at all guaranteed

Macron is to remain in office until presidential and legislative elections in April 2027, but he must now face the possibility of sharing power with political foes.

The prospect of France forming its first far-right government since World War II has dismayed its European allies, already perplexed by Macron’s gamble on a snap poll.

It also has left up in the air who will be in charge of the French government when the Olympic Games begin in Paris on July 26.

In an effort to halt the far-right rise seen in the first round of voting on June 30, centrists and left-wing parties formed second round polling pacts.

READ ALSO: Why you should care about French election results even if you’re not in France

Le Pen has denounced the move as a bid to steal victory “against the will of the people” by creating what she calls a “single party” to protect the political class.

But it is far from certain how many voters who saw their preferred candidates drop out to give another a clear run against the RN will turn out on Sunday, with anti-RN figures saying nothing should be taken for granted.

“Contrary to what we are all hearing, it is not at all guaranteed as we speak,” Raphael Glucksmann, who led the Socialist list in European elections, warned on Friday.

With so much of the outcome uncertain, tensions are rising.

More than 50 candidates and campaign activists have been physically assaulted during the four-week campaign, the shortest in modern French history.

About 30,000 police, including 5,000 in Paris, will be deployed this weekend to head off trouble.

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