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BREXIT

Sweden tears up plans to raise interest rates after Brexit

Sweden's central bank, the Riksbank, has kept its record-low interest rate unchanged, and hinted on Wednesday that it could be dropped further.

Sweden tears up plans to raise interest rates after Brexit
File photo of old Swedish bank notes being torn up. Photo: Marcus Ericsson/TT

The Riksbank kept Sweden's key interest rate, the repo, at -0.50 percent, but suggested it could be dropped to -0.53 percent in the final quarter of the year.

It predicted that, following what it described as the uncertainty sparked by Brexit, the rate would not go up until the third quarter of next year, adjusting its previous plans of raising it earlier in 2017.

“Economic activity in Sweden is continuing to strengthen, but there is considerable uncertainty over economic developments abroad and this has increased as a consequence of the result of the British referendum on the EU,” said the bank in a press release issued on Wednesday morning.

Sweden first slashed the repo rate to negative levels in February 2015, the first time in the country's history. It is now not expected to climb back to above zero until the third quarter of 2018.

The Riksbank also mentioned continuing low inflation as a factor behind its decision to keep the repo rate unchanged.

“A highly expansionary monetary policy is needed to provide continued support to the Swedish economy and rising inflation. (…) Given the increased uncertainty, the executive board now assesses that it will take longer before the repo rate begins to be raised,” it said.

The UK's prospective withdrawal from the European Union has been causing jitters in the world's financial markets since its June 23rd referendum. But the Riksbank said it did not believe that it would have a strong negative effect on the Swedish economy, suggesting that its Wednesday move may be merely a precaution.

“At present, it is difficult to assess the political and economic consequences of the outcome of the UK referendum, but the Riksbank assumes so far that the effects on the Swedish economy will be relatively limited. There is a risk of larger negative effects, but these are at present difficult to quantify in a forecast,” it said.

“The Riksbank is following developments closely and its forecasts will be adjusted as more information becomes available.”

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Commission official: ‘Up to Sweden how strict it is on Brexit applications’

An official from the European Commission has defended its decision not to take action on Sweden's strict treatment of late applications for post-Brexit residency, arguing that it is up to member states how to apply the Withdrawal Agreement.

Commission official: 'Up to Sweden how strict it is on Brexit applications'

In an email sent to The Local, the official confirmed the latest data, published at the end of last year, which showed that 22 percent of residence applications from UK nationals under the Withdrawal Agreement had not been successful in Sweden. The official said this was similar to the rejection rate for Swedish citizens’ applications in the UK. 

“Through its regular monitoring in Annual reports under Article 159(2) of the Withdrawal Agreement, the European Commission is aware of the fact that Sweden has a high rate of refusal of residence applications under Article 18(1) of the Withdrawal Agreement,” the official said. 

But they said that this in itself did not indicate that Sweden was failing to apply the UK Withdrawal Agreement correctly. 

“As long as there is no indication that a Member State in question is incorrectly applying the Withdrawal Agreement rules, it is not for the Commission to tell Member States how strict or lenient they should be when processing late applications,” the Commission official said.

READ ALSO: Brits in Sweden still in limbo years after Brexit deadline

Two EU lawyers The Local spoke to earlier this summer said that they believed that the Swedish Migration Agency had not been correctly applying the proportionality test to late applications, and had been too narrow in its interpretation of what constitutes “reasonable grounds” for a late application.

They also said that they believed the Migration Agency had been overly strict on what level of employment or savings UK citizens were required to have to qualify as resident in Sweden under EU law, and to therefore be qualified for post-Brexit residency.

SEE MORE: Why did Sweden reject Brits for post-Brexit residency

But the Commission official said that when it came to the late applications at least, Sweden was entitled to take the position it had done. 

“If the host State authorities reach the conclusion that a late applicant did not have reasonable grounds for missing the application deadline, they do not have to deal with the application on substance,” the official said.

“This means that someone who would have qualified for the residence rights under the Withdrawal Agreement might not be granted those rights if they missed the application deadline and did not have a valid reason for doing so.” 

READ ALSO: Is Sweden getting EU law wrong on Brexit cases? 

An unusual high rejection rate, the official continued, did not mean that Sweden was breaking the terms of the EU Withdrawal agreement. 

“The fact that there are negative decisions being taken by Member States under Article 18 of the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) does not, in itself, indicate that those Member States apply the Withdrawal Agreement incorrectly,” they said.

The Migration Agency had carried out a review of refusals, they said, checking a selection for “legal quality”, something The Local has previously reported on.

The Commission had received the Migration Agency’s review, they said, but had yet to complete its analysis of the findings. 

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