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HOMES

Report: Stockholm is at risk of a housing bubble

Stockholmers are the third most likely to experience a housing bubble in their city, according to a key ranking investigating a number of metropolises across the world.

Report: Stockholm is at risk of a housing bubble
Apartments in Stockholm. Photo: Tomas Oneborg/SvD/TT

Swiss investment bank UBS said that the Swedish capital had the third most over-valued property market in the world, behind London in second place and Vancouver in first.

It examined 18 cities around the world and concluded that six of them were at risk of a housing bubble. Making up the rest of the top-six were Sydney, Munich and Hong Kong.

“Over the last 12 years, the real house price level in Stockholm has doubled. The pace of growth accelerated in the last two years as growth rates stood near 15 percent,” said the report, but noted that low interest on mortgages had stabilized the cost of owning a house in the same period.

It further added that property valuations had increased the most in Stockholm over the last four quarters, followed by Munich, London and Amsterdam.

The report said low-interest rates in Sweden and elsewhere had contributed to “overheating of markets for urban residential properties in recent years. As a result, prices in London, Stockholm, Munich and Zurich have reached new record levels after adjustment for inflation”.

Earlier this year, the Swedish founders of Spotify sparked debate after they suggested that a lack of available housing is making it difficult for them to attract the best talent, to the degree that they could be forced to grow in other countries rather than Sweden unless the situation improves.

While properties in many parts of Sweden are generally inexpensive compared to the rest of the world, The Local has previously reported on Stockholm's price boom, including the capital's acute housing shortage on the rental market, which is believed to be driving property prices upwards for buyers as well.

UBS criticized the city's divided rental market, which means that those without points in the local authority's queue for price-controlled apartments have to resort to the often vastly overpriced sub-letting market.

As for the buyers' market, the government has taken steps to bring prices down, including making it mandatory for home owners to pay off their mortgage, but the measures have so far had little effect.

“A dysfunctional rental market provides no incentives to counteract the long-lasting supply shortage. And recently enacted regulations to cool down the housing market have not shown any significant results yet,” concluded the report.

A bostadsrätt apartment (a type of housing ownership common in Sweden) in Stockholm currently costs 55,374 kronor ($6440) per square metre, compared to a national average of 37,118 kronor, according to real estate statistics agency Mäklarstatistik. A detached house in the capital area costs 42,199 per square metre, compared to a national average of 22,464 kronor.

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PROPERTY

How to buy your own Swedish island

Ever felt like spending your summers lounging around on your own island? Or have you always wanted to build a James Bond-style supervillain fort in the middle of the Stockholm archipelago?

How to buy your own Swedish island

How can I find an island for sale?

Perhaps surprisingly, you can find islands for sale in the same places you find other properties in Sweden, for example on property site Hemnet, or directly through an estate agent.

As you may expect, people who own their own islands often want to hang onto them, so they don’t come up for sale very often. 

If you’re still interested in finding your dream island, then try searching egen ö till salu (own island for sale), and be prepared that you’ll probably have to wait a while before one comes up in your ideal area.

You might also get lucky and be able to find a property which just happens to include a small island with it (for example, a property by a lake or by the sea), but there’s no guarantee that the island would be big enough to actually do anything with – and if it is, the price of the property would no doubt reflect this.

Can I build on it?

Islands usually fall into two categories: those where there is already some sort of house or building (like a lighthouse, for example), and those which are completely untouched. 

Bear in mind that the rules on building on islands are pretty strict. Firstly, you’ll need to apply for planning permission (yes, even if you own the whole island), which can be difficult.

Essentially, all Swedish coastlines are protected under strandskyddet (literally: “beach protection”), which means that they must be accessible to the public and cannot be built on or fenced off for private use. The exact area which must be protected varies, but as a general rule you’ll have to keep the shoreline accessible 100 metres inland – going up to 300 metres in some cases.

Under allemansrätten, the right to roam, members of the public must be able to access the coastline, so even if you have your own island which you build your own jetty on, you can’t stop people from turning up and mooring at your jetty to lounge on the rocks.

The only exception to this is if they’re so close to your home they disturb your hemfrid, literally “home peace”, for example if they’d be able to see into your property or would feasibly intrude on your private life.

The downside to this hemfrid rule is that it can sometimes get in the way of planning permission – if a rebuild or extension to your home would extend your hemfrid so much that it would encroach on the public right to access the coastline (even if it’s something as simple as putting in larger windows or building a small veranda), then your application could be rejected.

So essentially, you might need to forget about your dreams of a supervillain-style lair on your own private island.

How much does it cost?

Island prices vary wildly, depending on things like the size of your island, how close it is to a major city, and whether it has buildings or pre-approved planning permission. 

Expect to pay a couple million kronor for a larger island (like this one) close to Stockholm or Gothenburg (yes, even if you can’t build anything on it).

Lilla Kattskäret, an island in Norrtälje around an hour from Stockholm with a handful of small buildings and two separate jetties, sold in August for just under 10 million kronor.

If you’re right in the middle of the city centre, you might see islands listed with no price at all, like this island complete with summer house, guest house and another, smaller island. A stone’s throw from Drottningholm Palace – the home of the Swedish King and Queen – this might be a case of “if you have to ask how much it costs, you probably can’t afford it”.

And don’t forget – you’ll need your own boat to access it, too.

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