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What does the ‘exceptionally weak’ Swedish krona mean for you?

Ignoring a few months in the financial crisis, the Swedish krona is now weaker than it's been in a century. What does that mean for internationals planning to moving here, or those who already have?

What does the 'exceptionally weak' Swedish krona mean for you?
The weak krona means executives coming from Europe and the US will be able to buy a more expensive house. Photo: Hasse Holmberg/TT
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The krona dropped still lower last week after Sweden's central bank signalled that with inflation still stubbornly under target there was now no chance of an end to negative interest rates this summer. You now need 10.6 kronor to buy a euro, up from 8.2 back in 2012. 
 
“It's quite clear that the krona is exceptionally weak,” Andreas Wallström, Chief Analyst at Nordea Markets, tells The Local. “Apart from the financial crisis, you have to go back 100 years to find it weaker…although of course the euro didn't exist back then, so it's sort of a synthetic euro.”
 
He doesn't expect change any time soon. 
 
“There's currently nothing really pointing to a strengthening of the krona. If you look at growth relative to the eurozone, we are really in for a slowdown now, whereas growth in Europe is quite strong.” 
Richard Falkenhäll, Senior FX Strategist at SEB, agrees:  “We have probably, along with Switzerland, the lowest short-term interest rates in the world right now, at -0.5, and that's despite several years of very strong growth.”
 
“That's a very negative thing for the Swedish krona, so I think we have to get used to a weaker Stocky [krona] at least this year and probably into next year.”  
 
If you're a tourist, of course, this is wonderful news: a pint of beer that would have cost you a jaw-dropping nine euros five years back now costs under seven.  
 
But if you're an international who's come to Sweden to work, or is planning to, it's rather less appealing. 
 
“You should make sure that you don't get paid in Swedish krona,” Wallström says, slightly tongue-in-cheek. 
 
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Jamie Hart, Managing Director at the recruitment firm Michael Page in Stockholm, says the low exchange rate is less of a problem for a foreigner negotiating their salary ahead of a move to Sweden, as their pay will normally be set by the real cost of living. 
 
“It will just cost the companies more to match up to the euro equivalent,” he says. “Generally speaking if you're recruiting people, the exchange rate is not what you base pay on, it's based on the cost of living.” 
 
People moving to Sweden may also find buying a house is a less daunting prospect that it was. 
 
“As the housing market in Sweden has lost about 10 percent in the last year, at least in Bromma where I work, you are getting a double effect,” says Pär Gunnarsson, who works for Swedish estate agents Fastighetsbyrån. 
 
And while he hasn't noticed an increase in the number of foreign buyers, he suspects those that come are able to spend more. 
 
“When you buy a house in Stockholm or Sweden, it's basically because you're moving here, and you buy the house you can afford. I don't think we have more foreign buyers in Stockholm, but maybe they can buy a more expensive house.” 
 
The exchange rate is more of an issue for workers who negotiated a pay deal back in 2012, when the krona was much higher.
 
If you negotiated an annual salary of 800,000 kronor back then, you've now taken a pretty substantial €21,000 cut in your annual euro earnings. 
 
“For an expat today having an income in krona, you probably just have to get used to earning less,” Falkenhäll says. “It's the same for us Swedes. It's starting to get quite expensive to travel abroad.” 
 
But Wallström believes it's not all bad news, as the low exchange rate combined with strong global demand is leading to boom times for Swedish exporters. 
 
“Swedish exporters are enjoying happy days and there is a  labour shortage in many sectors, so the demand for foreigners is likely to increase,” he says. 
 
Those already working in export-driven industries are in a powerful position to negotiate a pay increase, while those applying for jobs can probably afford to be quite demanding when it comes to salary. 
 
“There's a big demand for international skillsets particularly in the technology field, digital and engineering,” Hart says. “There's a big demand for people who want to move.” 
 
For many of people he recruits from the UK and Europe, salary is not the only reason to move to Sweden anyway. 
 
“There's upside in terms of quality of life, the length of your commute, the number of hours you work,” he says. “There's still positives about working in Sweden.” 
 
Still want to move to Sweden? Looking for a new job? Find your dream English-language role on The Local Jobs.
 

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How to protect your Swedish savings when the stock market tumbles

Recent stock market developments have made consumers in Sweden worried about the savings they have invested in the market.

How to protect your Swedish savings when the stock market tumbles

Stock market volatility can be unsettling, especially when it hits close to home.

On Monday, the Stockholm stock exchange mirrored global market turmoil, with the OMXS index dropping 4.8 percent in morning trading. By 11 am, there was a slight recovery, but the index remained 2.6 percent down.

READ MORE: Stockholm stock exchange opens in the red amid global market jitters

Big names in Swedish industry weren’t spared: Boliden, a major mining company, dropped 3 percent, defence giant Saab fell 1.5 percent, and engineering firm Sandvik declined by 2.6 percent. In the banking sector, SEB took a 2.4 percent hit, while Swedbank dropped 3.6 percent.

This turbulence in the Swedish market came after significant drops in Japan’s Nikkei 225 index, which experienced its most significant one-day fall since the 1987 Black Monday Crash, and similar declines in markets across South Korea, Frankfurt, London, and anticipated losses on Wall Street.

In these uncertain times, many Swedish consumers with money invested in the market wonder whether they should do something to safeguard their savings.

Avoid impulsive decisions, expert warns

Stock market volatility can raise concerns about the safety of your savings, but according to SEB household economist Américo Fernández, there’s no need to panic.

“Should they be worried? I mean, no. I would say that this is how the stock market works: there’s a lot of uncertainty and risk connected,” he told The Local. 

“When you have savings on the global stock exchanges, this will happen, especially when we’ve had at least six months of really, really good returns – maybe even too good. Then, this is a little bit expected.

“But of course, it’s always dramatic when we have such developments in the stock market in just one or two days.”

Slow and steady wins the (investment) race

For those wondering how to protect themselves against such crashes, Fernández emphasised a consistent and steady approach to investing.

“The most common thing, the best strategy for the broad masses, is to save on a monthly basis. And this is what many Swedes do; our surveys show that 9 out of 10 Swedes save on the stock market every month. This is precisely what you should do: invest in a mutual fund, which is quite common in Sweden,” he said.

“In circumstances such as these, you buy more at a lower price, instead of timing the stock market, which is almost impossible, continue your monthly investments through mutual funds. That’s a good way of diversifying your portfolio.”

READ ALSO: Will the krona’s decline stop Riksbank from cutting rates?

Ignore the alarmist headlines

The SEB household economist also advised against reacting hastily to alarming headlines.

“Another thing that households should be aware of is that when you see alarming headlines, you should sit and calmly ride the wave out.

“It’s understandable that a lot of people are affected by herd mentality when we have these negative headlines. Everyone, but especially households with tiny savings, acts and sells, and then they buy again when the headlines are positive, when the stock exchange is at high levels…

“That is the opposite of what you should do. Try to neglect these things and be cool in these circumstances, even though it seems bad and hurts your wallet. However, if it hurts your wallet too much, that might be a signal that you have too much money in the stock market (laughs), which can be common for younger investors. Although they have had it pretty good recently,” he noted.

This advice is not only applicable to Sweden but also relevant across Scandinavia, according to Fernández.

“I think it’s applicable. Across Scandinavia, all Nordic countries save a lot of money on the stock exchange, partially because the pension system isn’t fully funded by the government,” he said.

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