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INFECTIONS

Experts warn Switzerland headed for ‘10,000 infections a day’ after winding back Covid measures

In view of the planned phase-out of the current restrictions, the number of coronavirus cases could skyrocket in Switzerland, experts warn.

Experts warn Switzerland headed for '10,000 infections a day' after winding back Covid measures
People sitting with social distance in front of Swiss parliament in Bern. Image: Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP

The Federal Council announced on Wednesday its strategy to gradually end all coronavirus restrictions before the end of the summer.

By August, all measures currently in place would be lifted, if the pandemic doesn’t worsen in the meantime, authorities said.

But this plan alarmed experts at the Covid-19 Task Force, who predict that once protective measures are lifted, contaminations will sharply increase.

“With the easing, Switzerland is taking a risk”, said the Task Force’s chairman Martin Ackermann.

The task force established two possible scenarios: one based on 100,000 vaccinations a day, and the other on 50,000.

In the first case, contaminations will peak at 10,000 cases a day in June, before dropping in July. The second scenario predicts from 12,000 to 15,000 infections each day.  

What exactly does this mean?

To put it into context, right now over 2,300 infections are reported daily in Switzerland, which is considered a lot.

As a comparison, even in the midst of the first wave of the pandemic in the spring of 2020, the highest daily recorded numbers did not exceed 2,000 cases — however, much less testing was done in the early days, so the numbers were likely higher.

Ackermann did note that the two catastrophic scenarios drawn by the Task Force “are not exact forecasts, but rather a general trend”.

READ MORE: EXPLAINED: What is Switzerland’s three-phase plan for ending Covid-19 restrictions?

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COVID-19

What you need to know about the new Covid-19 wave in Switzerland

When the pandemic was winding down two years ago, health authorities warned that while the worst was over, Covid will keep re-emerging, in one form or another, in the future.

What you need to know about the new Covid-19 wave in Switzerland

In Switzerland, the number of laboratory-confirmed coronavirus cases has increased by around 50 percent over the last four weeks, according to the Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH).  

Add to it the undeclared cases, and that figure is even higher.

“The number of positive tests is climbing, and further increases cannot be ruled out,” FOPH said.

Overall, however, the number of infections remains low.

Why is Covid still around in Switzerland?

As epidemiologists predicted, coronavirus will keep mutating, with different strains emerging over time.

Covid’s new variants, KP.2 and KP.3, are currently circulating throughout the country, causing the number of cases to go up.

That’s because the latest variants spread fast and are particularly resistant to antibodies — which means that whatever immunity you may have built up through previous infections or vaccinations are not sufficient to stop new infections.

What are the symptoms?

The most common ones are similar to those of seasonal flu — that is, cough, fever, headache, muscle pain, cold, sore throat, as well as tiredness.

But just as with the previous bouts, some people will experience milder symptoms, while others more severe ones.

For the time being, these variants have not caused serious developments in most people, and only a small number have required hospitalisation.

What should you do if symptoms appear?

If you do become infected, FOPH recommends avoiding contact with other people, especially those who are particularly at risk of complications.

Measures imposed by the government during earlier outbreaks, such as isolation and quarantine, are not necessary at this point — though health authorities say that, similarly to to previous bouts, you should wear a mask and keep your distance.

And if you are in a high-risk group, contact your doctor immediately.

Should you get (re)vaccinated?

Ask your doctor about that.

Compulsory basic insurance will pay for the vaccine for high-risk people, and possibly their carertakers, based on doctor’s recommendations.

Others must pay for the shot out of their pockets. A dose costs around 100 francs.

Should you cancel your vacation if you test positive?

It is up to you and your own sense of responsibility.

“It would be best to cancel the flight immediately,” said Christiane Meier, vice-president of the Association of Cantonal Doctors. If you decide to go anyway, “wear a mask and keep your distance,” she added.
 
Should we expect a further increase in the number of cases after the holidays?

According to FOPH, it is not yet possible to know for sure, though this possibility can’t be excluded.

Swiss health authorities are constantly monitoring the evolution, but are not making any predictions for the moment.

What they do say is that though new variants spread fast and resist immunity, “there is no reason to panic at this stage.”

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