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Why is Sweden so rich? The Local answers Google’s questions 

Why is Sweden so rich? Why is Sweden so depressing? Why is Sweden called Sweden? In a new series of articles, The Local answers some of the most common questions that appear when you type "Why is Sweden..." into the Google search engine.

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Why is Sweden so rich? Let's find out. Photo: Google screenshot

Sweden is the world’s 16th wealthiest country. Its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is just below Germany’s in the OECD’s rankings

It’s a country of high-tech capitalism and extensive welfare benefits. The vast majority of enterprises are privately owned.

Daniel Waldenström at the Stockholm Research Institute of Industrial Economics says that Sweden’s economic success is due in large part “to our stable economic and political institutions, which allowed us to focus on producing wealth. That’s in addition to being in Europe, where the economic boom all started”.

So, how rich is Sweden, really? 

GDP is only one way of measuring wealth. It doesn’t tell the whole story. 

By all economic measures, Sweden is a relatively wealthy country, but this doesn’t necessarily trickle down to everyone.

Seven percent of working Swedes have an income below the EU’s at-risk-of-poverty threshold (although this is under the EU average of 10 percent). 

According to Statistics Sweden, 184,000 people were estimated to be in severe material deprivation in Sweden last year, meaning they couldn’t afford vital things like rent, a car, or telephone. This is still lower than nearly all other countries, but doesn’t square with the idea of folkhemmet, a welfare state for the people. Yet it has one of the world’s most extensive welfare systems, funded by government wealth (and debt). 

How did Sweden get so rich? 

Sweden only started to really accumulate wealth as it started to industrialise sometime in the mid-19th century. Before then, it was suffering from a period of relatively slow growth that forced more than one million Swedes to emigrate to the North America before the turn of the century. 

Through luck and well-placed geography, Sweden had the kind of natural resources (iron ore and wood) needed when countries like Britain and Germany industrialised.

“The industrial revolution made the iron in our ground very important,” Waldenström told The Local.  

The last time Sweden took part in a war was 1814. Benefitting from relative peace for more than 200 years, it also profited from exporting its iron and other raw materials to Germany during the Second World War. 

While Sweden struggled to rebuild along with the rest of Europe post-war, compared to the belligerent countries, Swedish industry was not destroyed. 

After the 1930s there was a long era of almost unbroken rule by Social Democratic governments, and according to a 2016 paper by Waldenström, this “paved the way for the emergence of one of the world’s most extensive welfare states”.

Benny Carlson, professor emeritus at the Department of Economic History at Lund University, describes Sweden’s modern-day economy as following “the middle way”.

“On the one hand the deals between well-organised employers and trade unions create fairly peaceful labour market conditions, on the other hand the welfare state guarantees social security and reasonable income equality,” he told The Local. 

Basically, Sweden is wealthy thanks to relative peace, social security, and a bit of luck. 

Member comments

  1. It is this timely distance to catastrophic events that lead to “lagom”. As an international expert who is trying to make a life for a family, it is surprising how little swedes work, to maintain this wealth. I would like to point out, that I am talking about innovation in Technology. This my and my peers experience.

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MONEY

Three ways Sweden’s slashed interest rate will boost your finances

Sweden's central bank, the Riksbank, in May lowered the policy rate for the first time in eight years. How could this affect the finances of those of us living in Sweden?

Three ways Sweden's slashed interest rate will boost your finances

Lower mortgage rates

The policy rate is not the same as the interest rate on your mortgage, although they are linked. In a policy rate prognosis from March, the bank predicted that the policy rate could drop to as low as 2.75 percent by the end of 2025, a drop of 1.25 percentage points since the beginning of 2024.

If mortgage rates drop by the same amount, you could expect a drop in the monthly cost of a 3 million kronor mortgage of around 3,000 kronor a month, not including the tax rebate for interest costs.

Higher property prices

As mortgage rates get lower, the housing market is likely to improve, as buyers know their monthly costs aren’t going to skyrocket due to ever-rising interest rates.

If you already own a home and you’re planning on buying and selling at the same time in the market, this will affect you less, as the price of your new home will most likely go up at the same rate as the price of your old home, but this is good news for anyone planning on selling.

It’s worse news for first-time buyers, who will have to save a larger deposit as prices go up, but on the other hand they’ll get lower mortgage rates and a more stable policy rate makes it easier to plan ahead for the future without being surprised by ever-increasing rates.

A stronger Swedish economy

The Riksbank’s decision to lower the interest rate is proof that the bank believes inflation is over – for now at least. This means that we can expect to see inflation remain at a more stable level, and we’re unlikely to see anything close to the ten percent inflation we saw at the end of 2022.

Lower inflation means that Swedish monetary policy won’t need to be as cautious or restrictive in the future, as the government and the central bank no longer need to put all their efforts into fighting inflation.

That’s not to say that authorities will start stimulating the economy just yet – they’re likely to proceed with caution to make sure inflation really is down for the long-term – but Thursday’s interest rate announcement indicates that the “economic winter” Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson warned of in September last year could be drawing to a close.

Is it all good news?

In the short term, the value of the krona is likely to worsen somewhat, as the central bank has lowered Sweden’s interest rate ahead of other major central banks. The krona weakened slightly after the bank’s announcement on Thursday, dropping 8 öre in value against the dollar and 7 öre against the euro.

This is good news for people with income in other currencies, but bad news for those of us who are paid in kronor.

Having said that, a stronger Swedish economy is good news for the value of the krona in the long term, although it’s difficult to predict when the krona will start to gain in value and by how much.

At the end of last year, Riksbank governor Erik Thedéen described the krona as “undervalued”, and underlined the importance of having strong foundations in the Swedish economy.

“The Swedish economy is, at its foundations, well-managed, and sooner or later this will lead to a stronger exchange rate,” he said. “Sweden has strong finances, a well-educated labour force, responsible salaries and a good underlying level of competition.”

“As anyone who has tried to predict the exchange rate knows, it’s genuinely difficult to say exactly when it will go up and by how much, but it can also happen quickly when the trend is broken and the krona starts to gain in value.”

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