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COVID-19

Covid hotspots: ‘More hospitalisations’ predicted for Switzerland’s as cases increase

The epidemiological situation in Switzerland is not improving — the number of infections continues to be extremely high, though hospital admissions have remained relatively stable. However, that is likely to change soon, experts predict.

A nurse wheels a person in a hospital bed down a corridor
What is the current situation in Switzerland's hospitals? Photo by Hush Naidoo Jade Photography on Unsplash

The number of contaminations continues to soar, with 29,887 new cases reported on January 13th. Experts believe that most of these infections are due to the Omicron variant, which now accounts for 76 percent of cases in Switzerland.

The national infection rate now stands  at 3,592.52 per 100,000 people, over one thousand more than last week.

Most infections, according to the Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH) have been detected in Valais (6,024.05 / 100,000), followed by Geneva (5,979.15), Jura (5,829.68), Graubünden (5,753.74), and Ticino (5,321.01).

Cases in Vaud (5,025.03), Fribourg (5,019.72), and Neuchâtel (4,555.58) also exceed the national average.

On the other hand, the situation is eastern, central and northern cantons has gotten better.

Southern and western cantons are most affected. Image: FOPH

Perhaps the best indicator of the extent of infections is that nearly 163,000 people are now in isolation in Switzerland, having tested positive for the virus.

READ MORE: Switzerland to cut quarantine period for vaccinated and extend current measures

Meanwhile, the situation in hospitals has improved slightly, with 267 coronavirus patients currently in intensive care units — down from 306 last week.

However, occupancy rates will likely go up, health officials say.

“It’s very possible that we will reach the peak of the wave within one to three weeks. The FOPH expects an increase in the number of hospitalisations in the coming days”, according to Tanja Stadler, president of the Covid-19 Task Force.

Virginie Masserey, head of FOPH’s infection control unit, reiterated that “there is a lag between the time of infections and the time of hospitalisation. It is often 14 days. It is during the next two weeks that we will begin to see the consequences” of the Omicron contagion, she pointed out.

If this forecast is realised, authorities would quickly implement additional restrictions

“Should the situation in hospitals deteriorate significantly, the Federal Council can still act swiftly by imposing stricter measures such as the closure of facilities and institutions or by limiting capacity at large-scale events,” the government said in a press release on Wednesday. 

What about deaths?

Like hospitalisations, death rates continue to decline — from 122 in the week starting on December 27th to 91 in the week beginning on January 3rd.

Fewer deaths have been recorded. Image: FOPH

FOPH attributes the relatively low numbers to vaccinations.

Death rates are lowest among fully vaccinated people. Image: FOPH

What’s ahead?

While it is difficult to accurately predict how the epidemiological situation will continue to evolve, a number of health experts have said the end of the pandemic may be near.

“We are perhaps on the brink of an important, even decisive, turning point, with the passage from a pandemic phase to an endemic phase”, said Health Minister Alain Berset.

He attributed this to “the immunity rate of the population which has now exceeded 90 percent in all age groups over 20 years old” because of vaccination or infection.

And according to Rudolf Hauri from the Conference of Cantonal Health Directors, “we will overcome most of the pandemic by the spring, as the baseline immunity will be high enough”.

READ MORE: Swiss government: Omicron may be ‘beginning of the end’ of pandemic

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COVID-19

What you need to know about the new Covid-19 wave in Switzerland

When the pandemic was winding down two years ago, health authorities warned that while the worst was over, Covid will keep re-emerging, in one form or another, in the future.

What you need to know about the new Covid-19 wave in Switzerland

In Switzerland, the number of laboratory-confirmed coronavirus cases has increased by around 50 percent over the last four weeks, according to the Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH).  

Add to it the undeclared cases, and that figure is even higher.

“The number of positive tests is climbing, and further increases cannot be ruled out,” FOPH said.

Overall, however, the number of infections remains low.

Why is Covid still around in Switzerland?

As epidemiologists predicted, coronavirus will keep mutating, with different strains emerging over time.

Covid’s new variants, KP.2 and KP.3, are currently circulating throughout the country, causing the number of cases to go up.

That’s because the latest variants spread fast and are particularly resistant to antibodies — which means that whatever immunity you may have built up through previous infections or vaccinations are not sufficient to stop new infections.

What are the symptoms?

The most common ones are similar to those of seasonal flu — that is, cough, fever, headache, muscle pain, cold, sore throat, as well as tiredness.

But just as with the previous bouts, some people will experience milder symptoms, while others more severe ones.

For the time being, these variants have not caused serious developments in most people, and only a small number have required hospitalisation.

What should you do if symptoms appear?

If you do become infected, FOPH recommends avoiding contact with other people, especially those who are particularly at risk of complications.

Measures imposed by the government during earlier outbreaks, such as isolation and quarantine, are not necessary at this point — though health authorities say that, similarly to to previous bouts, you should wear a mask and keep your distance.

And if you are in a high-risk group, contact your doctor immediately.

Should you get (re)vaccinated?

Ask your doctor about that.

Compulsory basic insurance will pay for the vaccine for high-risk people, and possibly their carertakers, based on doctor’s recommendations.

Others must pay for the shot out of their pockets. A dose costs around 100 francs.

Should you cancel your vacation if you test positive?

It is up to you and your own sense of responsibility.

“It would be best to cancel the flight immediately,” said Christiane Meier, vice-president of the Association of Cantonal Doctors. If you decide to go anyway, “wear a mask and keep your distance,” she added.
 
Should we expect a further increase in the number of cases after the holidays?

According to FOPH, it is not yet possible to know for sure, though this possibility can’t be excluded.

Swiss health authorities are constantly monitoring the evolution, but are not making any predictions for the moment.

What they do say is that though new variants spread fast and resist immunity, “there is no reason to panic at this stage.”

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