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ECONOMY

German cost of living rising at slowest rate since June

The rate of inflation in Germany fell for the first time in seven months in January, official figures on Monday showed, but came in above analyst expectations as supply issues persisted.

A woman shops for groceries in Hannover, Lower Saxony.
A woman shops for groceries in Hannover, Lower Saxony. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Moritz Frankenberg

Consumer prices rose 4.9 percent year on year, after hitting a rate of 5.3 percent in December, preliminary figures from the federal statistics agency Destatis showed.

“The inflation rate remains high despite the absence of the base effects caused in 2021,” Destatis said in a statement, attributing price rises to “crisis-related effects such as delivery bottlenecks” and the cost of energy.

Analysts at Factset had predicted German inflation would come in at 4.6 percent in January, ringing in a year in which observers expected the pace of inflation to decline.

A noticeable slowdown would have to wait “until late summer”, Carsten Brzeski, head of macro at the bank ING said.

A spike in energy prices and widespread supply shortages pushed inflation in Germany to 3.1 percent over the entirety of last year.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: The everyday products getting more expensive in Germany

“Chances are high that average inflation over the entire year will be higher this year than in 2021,” Brzeski said.

The higher-than-expected figure will raise concerns that inflation will remain higher for longer, putting pressure on the European Central Bank to respond.

By the ECB’s preferred measure, the harmonised index of consumer prices, inflation in Germany was 5.1 percent in January, down from 5.7 percent in December.

These figures would “provoke discussion” in the ECB’s upcoming meeting on Thursday, said Jens-Oliver Niklasch, senior economist at LBBW bank, adding that it was “increasingly unlikely that inflation will fall to an acceptable level for monetary policy by the end of the year.”

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BUSINESS & INDUSTRY

Intel chip plant delay latest blow for struggling German economy

Struggling with high energy costs and softening demand for its exports, the last thing Germany needed was Intel announcing it is delaying plans to build a massive chip factory.

Intel chip plant delay latest blow for struggling German economy

Intel’s delay

The US chip giant announced Monday it is postponing plans for its project in Germany for two years as it focuses more on the United States.

This is a blow to Berlin, which had pledged 10 billion euros ($11 billion) – a third of the cost – to build the production plant in the eastern city of Magdeburg.

While Intel’s own struggles are the immediate cause for the delay, it has also fuelled concerns that Germany is becoming less attractive as a place to do business.

In this year’s ranking of the most competitive economies by Swiss business school IMD, Germany slipped two spots to 24th, with taxes, bureaucracy and poor infrastructure cited as major handicaps.

Volkswagen stalls

Auto titan Volkswagen announced earlier this month it could take the unprecedented step of closing factories in Germany for the first time in its 87-year history.

READ ALSO: Will there be job losses and plant closures at Volkswagen in Germany?

Europe’s biggest carmaker is struggling with high costs, problems in the transition to electric vehicles, and fierce competition from local rivals in key market China.

(FILES) Employees of German car maker Volkswagen (VW) protest at the start of a company's general meeting in Wolfsburg, northern Germany, on September 4, 2024.

Employees of German car maker Volkswagen (VW) protest at the start of a company’s general meeting in Wolfsburg, northern Germany, on September 4, 2024. Photo by Moritz Frankenberg / POOL / AFP

A week after VW’s shock announcement, BMW announced it was recalling 1.5 million vehicles due to problems with their brakes and downgraded its outlook for the year, also citing problems in China.

Steel storm

Efforts by Thyssenkrupp to spin off its loss-making steel division and get its business back on track ran into trouble last month when a host of senior executives quit in protest at the what they said was the unacceptable behaviour of the group’s CEO.

The row centres around plans to restructure the division, which operates Europe’s largest steelworks in Duisburg, western Germany.

The conglomerate wants to separate the steelmaking unit from its other activities, which include building submarines, as it faces higher manufacturing costs and competition from cheaper Asian steel.

It already announced that it plans to cut jobs in Duisburg and reduce production.

Firms face being gobbled up

Deutsche Bahn announced last week that logistics unit Schenker, traditionally one of its most profitable arms, is to be sold to Danish group DSV, with unions fearful it could lead to thousands of job losses in Germany.

Meanwhile Italian bank UniCredit is targeting a takeover of Commerzbank after building up a nine-percent stake in Germany’s second-biggest lender, a development that reportedly blindsided Berlin and has angered German unions.

Still some say such takeovers also highlight that German firms remain attractive, despite the woes of the broader economy.

Poor indicators

After starting the year on a positive note, recent surveys – from business morale to consumer confidence – have been on a downward trend, denting hopes of a strong rebound.

Some economic institutes have cut their forecasts, and now expect either stagnation or a slight recession for the whole year.

In its last official forecast in April, the economy ministry still expected growth of 0.3 percent this year, but it may downgrade that forecast when it updates the figure soon.

Commenting after a recent batch of negative data, ING economist Carsten Brzeski summed up Germany’s problems: “Years of stagnation, and underestimating technological trends and international competition do not come without consequences.”

By Sophie MAKRIS

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