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ANGELA MERKEL

ANALYSIS: Are Germans questioning Merkel’s legacy?

In her first major speech since leaving office, Angela Merkel called Russia’s invasion of Ukraine “barbaric.” But the former Chancellor has been criticised for enabling Vladimir Putin while in office. Will German public opinion on Merkel turn?

Olaf Scholz and Angela Merkel
Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) hands flowers to former chancellor Angela Merkel as she leaves office. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Michael Kappeler

The same week she left office this past December, Angela Merkel was Germany’s most popular politician. Leaving with flowers and a 68 percent approval rating, she was one of the few politicians – in any country ever – to successfully engineer a graceful exit from politics on her own terms.

Six months on, Christian Democrat Merkel has mostly kept quiet. On June 1st though, she finally gave her first public speech since leaving the Chancellery. Speaking at a farewell event for the President of the German Trade Union Confederation (DGB), Merkel came out in support of the SPD-led coalition government’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as well as the international efforts the US, NATO, G7, and UN are taking to stop Russia’s “barbaric” war.

“My solidarity goes to Ukraine, which has been attacked and invaded by Russia, and to supporting their right to self-defence,” she said. “We should never take peace and freedom for granted.”

Ukraine criticises Merkel’s record

Merkel left office telling Germans to expect a period of silence from her. She maintained she wouldn’t be taking many speaking engagements for a while and would instead focus on writing a memoir of her key political decisions. True to the understated and humble style both Germans and foreigners know her for, she maintained she would mostly write it herself, without a ghostwriter, with help only from her longtime assistant Beate Baumann.

Angela Merkel (CDU) attends a vote to elect the new German President in Feburary in Berlin

Angela Merkel (CDU) attends a vote to elect the new German President in Feburary in Berlin. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Christophe Gateau

Before her speech, she made just one short public intervention, defending her decision to keep Ukraine and Georgia out of NATO during a summit in April 2008. That decision is just one of many German choices Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says emboldened Russian President Vladimir Putin to invade his country. Zelensky has levelled sharp criticism at Merkel personally, for everything from her NATO decision to her support for Nord Stream 2, the now cancelled pipeline that would have delivered Russian gas directly to Germany.

“I invite Ms. Merkel and Mr. Sarkozy to visit Bucha and see what the policy of concessions to Russia has led to in the last 14 years,” he said in April, referring to the systematic massacres Russian soldiers conducted in a town near Kyiv.

READ ALSO: Clouds over Merkel’s legacy as Russian invasion lays flaws bare

German Public cools on Merkel’s policies

While there’s no indication in polls conducted so far that Germans blame Merkel for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, recent surveys show that many now support reversing some of her most key decisions.

During Merkel’s tenure, Germany became dependent on Russia for over half its natural gas imports. The Nord Stream 2 pipeline she supported, if it did become operational, would likely have only added to that dependence. Before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, ordinary Germans were generally in agreement, with 60 percent supporting Nord Stream 2’s completion. But more than 75 percent now say they want independence from Russian energy, either immediately or step-by-step over the next few months.

Beyond Russia, the German public now seems to want a more distant relationship with another authoritarian country Merkel tried to build closer economic ties with – 83 percent of Germans want the country to gradually become less economically dependent on China.

READ ALSO: An era ends: How will Germany and the world remember the Merkel years?

Merkel hasn’t yet set a release date for her book, but as Russia wages war in Ukraine, a sizeable number of Germans now look prepared to break with some of her most consequential decisions. 

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POLITICS

What the shock defection of a Greens MP to the CDU tells us about German politics

For the first time in almost three decades, an MP for the Green Party has defected to the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party. What does this say about the climate of chaos dominating German politics?

What the shock defection of a Greens MP to the CDU tells us about German politics

In the long list of problems facing the beleaguered traffic-light coalition, this wasn’t one they’d reckoned with: on Tuesday, for the first time in 28 years, a Greens MP defected to the centre-right CDU.

Melis Sekmen, a 30-year old politician from Mannheim, announced the move in a video and written statement published on her website on Tuesday morning. Describing the decision as “the result of a long process of consideration”, Sekmen said her views on politics had developed over time.

“I have realised that my idea of how and with what style politics is done has evolved,” she said. 

The defection was met with shock and consternation from members of the left-leaning Green party, many of whom responded to the political betrayal in muted tones.

“It’s not a good look,” Cindy Holberg, the vice chair of Baden-Württemberg Greens, told Spiegel.

READ ALSO: Could the far-right AfD join a coalition in Germany?

“It’s unfair to the voters who wanted Greens and are getting Black,” she added, referring to the flagship colour of the CDU.

But on the other side of the Bundestag, where the right-wing parties sit, the atmosphere was jubilant. 

In a parliamentary meeting with her new CDU colleagues, and those from their sister Christian Social Union Party (CSU), Sekmen was apparently met with applause and a “warm welcome” from CDU/CSU parliamentary leader Friedrich Merz.

“It’s good that you have made this decision,” Merz said. “The parliamentary group is looking forward to getting to know you.”

According to unnamed colleagues of Sekmen’s who have spoken to Spiegel, the former Greens MP had “clapped performatively” at speeches made by the CDU leader in recent debates in the Bundestag. 

Why did Sekmen leave the Greens?

Though there was no explicit mention of political disagreements with her party, Sekmen hinted in her statement that both economic and identity politics had played a role.

Praising her home city of Mannheim in Baden-Württemberg, the former Greens MP said the city had given people “the opportunity to build something for themselves”.

“They have worked hard and thus achieved social advancement,” she wrote. “My family is part of this wonderful story.”

Though little known outside of the Bundestag bubble, Sekmen had specialised in economic politics as a Greens MP, chairing the Greens economics committee and heading up initiatives for businesses and startups. 

Melis Sekmen CDU

Former Greens MP Melis Sekmen joins a parliamentary meeting of the CDU in the Bundestag on Tuesday. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Bernd von Jutrczenka

Heavily isolated among her left-leaning local party, she had also taken issue with her party’s brand of social politics, such as the reform of long-term unemployment benefits to make the system less punitive.

When her coalition partners, the Free Democrats (FDP), set out an economically liberal 12-point-plan back in April that included slashing benefits and reversing the Bürgergeld reforms, Sekmen said she was open to it.

But perhaps the most thorny issue between Sekmen and the Greens were issues of identity – and especially their stance on Islamism. 

In her statement announcing her defection, she said parties should “name uncomfortable realities” even if they don’t fit in with their political narratives and that those voices should come from “the centre rather than the fringes” of politics. 

“To achieve this, we need a culture of debate that doesn’t pigeonhole people for their opinions or concerns,” she added.

Following the deadly knife attack on a police officer at an anti-Islam rally in Mannheim in May, Sekmen also spoke out in favour of a tougher line on radical Islam and the integration of foreigners.

“It has to be possible to discuss this topic without being pigeonholed,” she told the Frankfurter Allgemeine newspaper. 

That could be one reason that the former Green politician, whose father moved to Germany from Turkey as a child, found a home in the CDU under Merz.

The party’s new programme, which was penned back in May, takes a strong line on foreigners’ integration and a heavily critical stance on radical Islam. 

READ ALSO: Tensions high in Mannheim after knife attack claims life of policeman

What does this mean for the traffic-light coalition?

Though Sekmen is in many ways an Alleingänger – or a unique case – her defection really cuts to the heart of many issues the traffic-light coalition is facing.

The uneasy partnership between the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), Greens and pro-business FDP has been under increasing strain in recent months, and the fissures are starting to deepen.

This week, the coalition parties are struggling to reconcile their visions for the future in the form of the 2025 budget.

Christian Lindner Robert Habeck Olaf Scholz

Finance Minister Christian Lindner (FDP), Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Greens) and Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) sit together in the Bundestag. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Michael Kappeler

While the liberal FDP wants to slash ministerial budgets, cut benefits and stick to Germany’s strict borrowing rules, the SPD and Greens are desperate to secure funds for their welfare programmes and invest more heavily in infrastructure. 

The endless battles and even existential threats to the traffic-light coalition have taken their toll in recent months, and this latest sign of disagreement within a single party has only added to the sense of chaos.

Originally due to sign off on the law on July 4th, the new deadline is now July 17th, with a draft allegedly due to be presented on Friday ahead of Germany’s match against Spain in the Euro quarter-finals. 

But it’s likely to take more than that for the storm-battered coalition to recover from its dire poll ratings and appalling showings in the recent EU and local elections.

The parties must also find a way to tackle the elephant in the room: the surge in popularity of the far-right AfD and the ongoing culture wars about issues related to identity and integration.

READ ALSO: What do Germany’s far-right gains in EU elections mean for foreigners?

Sekmen’s comments about bringing an Islam-critical stance into the mainstream centre of politics will speak to the CDU, who have been following precisely this strategy in recent months.

The question remains whether that will be enough to reclaim the narrative from the evermore prominent far-right.

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