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Norway’s finance minister expects inflation to ease

Many Norwegian households have struggled this year due to a chain of crises. Norway's Finance Minister Trygve Slagsvold Vedum believes things will improve in 2024.

Stavanger
As we approach the year's final quarter, the inflation outlook in Norway doesn't seem rosy. Is there room for optimism for 2024?Photo by Gunnar Ridderström on Unsplash

Many in Norway have felt the pinch of rising prices so far this year. 

From June to July this year, there was a 0.4 percent jump in the consumer price index, and by July 2023, it was 5.4 percent higher than the same time last year, according to the latest data from Statistics Norway (SSB).

Meanwhile, Norway’s central bank (Norges Bank) has been bumping up its key interest rate to control inflation. This move has caused regular banks in Norway to up their rates on mortgages, making them pricier to pay back.

READ MORE: Interest rates and inflation slow Norway’s economy

Norway’s current Finance Minister, Trygve Slagsvold Vedum, believes that things will be better next year.

“Things are good. We are in a completely different and safer place than last year. Now we have to achieve lower price growth without unemployment rising too much,” Vedum said in Bergen on Tuesday, according to the newspaper VG.

Vedum visited Bergen to give a lecture at the University of Bergen on the topic of next year’s state budget.

“We will probably have high price growth for a few more months, but we are past the peak and on the way down,” he said.

The next state budget

Later this week, the Norwegian government will finalise its state budget proposal for next year.

While Vedum didn’t want to share budget details on Tuesday, he said that the economic situation in Norway – and the world – was challenging, saying that the state budget will have to account for tough times.

He highlighted the rise in prices as the most difficult aspect that needs to be considered during the budget-related work.

“Inflation must come down. We are the first government since the beginning of the 1990s to have that as its main task,” Vedum said, adding that inflation is high in all countries – regardless of the political party in power.

The fact that Norway has slightly lower price growth than the rest of Europe is primarily due to the electricity support measures for households and businesses, the finance minister added.

No large tax increases on the horizon?

Vedum has previously told the Norwegian media that the governemnt had no plans for significant tax increases.

“This year, there will be less (budget-related) headlines – because we don’t have to take such drastic measures as we had to last year.

“There will be no major changes in the tax system this autumn. There are always some changes, but no major, new measures, such as we had last year…” Vedum said.

Electricity prices are also likely to be significantly lower compared to last winter. With that, the minister noted that the state’s expenditure on electricity subsidies will also decrease in next year’s budget.

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POLITICS

How Norway’s 2025 budget will impact foreign residents

Norway’s government won’t unveil its budget for another few weeks, but several proposals, such as income tax cuts, have already been made public. Here's how foreign residents in Norway will be affected.

How Norway's 2025 budget will impact foreign residents

Norway’s budget for 2025 will be unveiled on October 7th. It is the last budget the current government will present before the general election next year.

Tax cuts

Finance minister Trygve Slagsvold Vedum said this summer that those on ordinary incomes would pay less income tax in 2025. How much income tax will be cut is currently unknown.

Tax residents of Norway currently pay a flat tax rate of 22 percent, and then a further “bracket tax” based on how much they earn. For example, those who earn up to 670,000 kroner per year pay a four percent bracket tax, while those making between 670,001 and 937,900 kroner pay a 13.6 percent bracket tax.

READ ALSO: How does Norway’s bracket tax for income work?

Norway’s tax card system would also be tweaked to benefit those with part-time jobs. Next year, you can earn up to 100,000 before paying tax. This could benefit foreign students in Norway.

Finances

The government will continue its electric subsidy for households next year. The government announced its intention to continue the policy this spring.

Currently, the state covers 90 percent of the electricity price above 73 øre per kWh – or 91.25 øre including VAT.

Residents of Norway’s 212 least central municipalities will have 25,000 kroner of their student loans written off per year from 2026.

Those in Finnmark and Nord-Troms will have their loans written off at a rate of 60,000 kroner a year.

READ MORE: The incentives to attract people to northern Norway

Crime

The government will spend an extra 2.8 billion kroner on fighting crime. Of this, 2.4 billion kroner will go directly to beefing up the number of police officers in Norway. Some 90 million kroner would be put towards cracking down on financial crime.

Furthermore, 405 million kroner would also be spent on fighting youth crime, by creating a fast track court for young offenders and creating more juvenile detention places.

Travel changes

Up to 2.9 billion kroner extra spending will go into maintaining Norway’s rail infrastructure. Signal and track failures have been a constant source of delays in east Norway, where services regularly struggle with punctuality.

Over 12 billion kroner will be spent on Norway’s rail system.

Norway could finally reveal more details on its proposed tourist tax. The country’s industry minister, Cecilie Myrseth, has previously said that a proposal would be tabled this autumn.

The minister didn’t say whether this would be related to the raft of proposals included in the budget.

A potential tourist tax has long been promised by the current government as part of the Hurdal Agreement it was formed on in 2021.

As part of its budget cooperation with the Socialist Left Party, the government will be required to assess whether a subsidy scheme should be introduced for long-distance bus travel in Norway.

Bus routes without an alternative, such as train, could be subsidised under the scheme.

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