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SWEDEN ELECTS

Sweden Elects: Far right sets sights on becoming Sweden’s largest party

In our weekly Sweden Elects newsletter, The Local's editor Emma Löfgren explains the key events to keep an eye on in Swedish politics this week.

Sweden Elects: Far right sets sights on becoming Sweden's largest party
Sweden Democrat leader Jimmie Åkesson speaks at a party conference. Photo: Tommy Pedersen/TT

Hej,

Jimmie Åkesson told a conference of some 800 Sweden Democrats in Karlstad over the weekend that he wants his anti-immigration party to challenge the Social Democrats for the spot of Sweden’s largest party.

It could happen.

The Social Democrats have been Sweden’s largest party throughout modern political history, even when they’ve lost elections, but their support has dwindled from the 50 percent of their social movement heyday of the mid-20th century to the 30 percent-ish of today.

The Sweden Democrats, meanwhile, have grown from being an outcast faction started by neo-Nazi sympathisers, to 20 seats in parliament in the 2010 election, to their 73 seats in parliament today. In the 2022 election they overtook the conservative Moderates to become Sweden’s second-largest party, and now they’ve got their eyes on the top spot.

I remember interviewing a Swede back in 2017 who went undercover for a year with the US alt-right movement, and one of his quotes stuck with me. “They’re not just doing political campaigning (…) but they organise barbecues and picnics, go to gallery openings, concerts, and just have a beer in a pub. (…) I think many of the people there are there for social reasons. It provides a context for them as friends,” he told me.

There’s a similar feel whenever you read reports from Sweden Democrat events or their presence in local politics. It’s a social glue that used to be provided by the Social Democrats and to some extent other parties.

If the mainstream parties wanted to draw inspiration from anything, perhaps this would be the thing to choose, rather than fighting to see who among them can be the toughest on immigration. But the latter is the path they’ve chosen, and Moderate Migration Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard told the DN daily in a new interview that her government “is prepared to do whatever it takes to get immigration numbers down”.

You hear similar pledges from the right wing to the centre-left.

The leader of Kommunal, Sweden’s largest trade union for municipal workers (for example people who work in elderly care or preschools), urged the Social Democrats to stop “copying the Sweden Democrats”.

“Elderly care was barely mentioned in the election, despite the fact that all parties seemed to agree during the pandemic on how important and underserved it is. It is tragic,” she told DN in an interview last week.

As a news site founded by immigrants for immigrants, here at The Local we’ll keep covering this issue and other issues that matter to you.

In a new article, The Local’s acting editor Richard Orange (filling in for me while I’m on maternity leave) looked at the number of people who could be affected if the government abolishes asylum-related permanent residence permits, as Malmer Stenergard has said it wants to do.

On the latest episode of our Sweden in Focus podcast, my colleagues discussed Sweden’s plans to introduce a state-mandated cultural canon and what it will mean for foreigners (the episode also features a really interesting interview with Pakistan’s ambassador to Sweden).

In other news

The man who murdered a high-profile psychiatrist at Sweden’s annual political festival in July was last week found guilty of murder and preparing to commit a terror offence – the latter because of his plans to also attack Centre Party leader Annie Lööf. He was sentenced to psychiatric care.

Sweden’s business and energy minister, Christian Democrat leader Ebba Busch, has called on people to reduce their heating by 1C and halve their use of hot water in order to reduce electricity demand over the winter.

As Le Monde’s Nordic correspondent pointed out, that’s a very different tune to the campaign in 2021 when Busch, armed with a vacuum cleaner, criticised the then-government for urging people to save energy.

If you speak Swedish, a new documentary by public broadcaster SVT follows Sweden Democrat leader Jimmie Åkesson and Left Party leader Nooshi Dadgostar on the campaign trail and in post-election talks.

Sweden’s popular speaker of parliament, Andreas Norlén, is ready to travel to Ankara to help negotiate Nato membership with Turkey, according to emails seen by DN. Nothing’s been decided yet, though.

Sweden Elects is a weekly column by Editor Emma Löfgren looking at the big talking points and issues after the Swedish election. Members of The Local Sweden can sign up to receive the column as a newsletter in their email inbox each week. Just click on this “newsletters” option or visit the menu bar.

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POLITICS

Full steam ahead for Swedish economy in new three-part budget bill

Sweden has won the fight against inflation and expects GDP to grow next year, Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson proudly proclaimed as she presented the government's budget bill for 2025.

Full steam ahead for Swedish economy in new three-part budget bill

“Going forward, the task will be to ensure that high inflation does not return, and at the same time to implement reforms and investments that build a more prosperous, safer and more secure Sweden for generations to come,” said Svantesson in a statement on Thursday morning.

The government predicts that Swedish GDP will grow 2.5 percent next year followed by 3.2 percent 2026.

Unemployment, however, is expected to remain unchanged at 8.3 percent in 2025, only beginning to drop in 2026 (7.9 percent, according to the government’s predictions, followed by 7.6 percent in 2027).

Svantesson told a press conference that a strong focus on economic growth would create jobs.

The 2025 budget, worked out in collaboration between the right-wing government coalition and far-right Sweden Democrats, is far more expansionary than the restrained budget Svantesson presented last year when Sweden was still fighting high inflation: 60 billion kronor towards new reforms rather than 39 billion kronor for 2024. Almost half, 27 billion kronor, will go towards funding lower taxes.

ANALYSIS:

Svantesson highlighted three areas in which new reforms are prioritised:

  • Strengthening household purchasing power after several years of the high cost of living putting a strain on household budgets, with reforms set to push the tax burden to its lowest level since 1980, according to the government.
  • Reinstating the “work first” principle, meaning that people should work rather than live on benefits. Some of the measures include language training for parents born abroad and increasing the number of places in vocational adult education.
  • Increasing growth, focusing on investments in research, infrastructure and electricity supply.

In the debate in parliament on Thursday, the centre-left opposition is expected to criticise the government for lowering taxes for high earners and not investing enough in welfare. 

Investments in healthcare, social care and education are significantly reduced in this budget compared to last year: down from 16 billion kronor to 7.5 billion kronor. 

Meanwhile, the hike of the employment tax credit (jobbskatteavdraget) – a tax reduction given to people who pay tax on their job income – is expected to lead to a 3,671 kronor tax cut for people on the median salary of 462,000 kronor per year.

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