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Italy confirms tax cuts in 2024 budget plan

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni outlined her proposed 2024 budget on Monday, with the focus on tax cuts and funding for larger families - despite market concerns about Italy's public debt.

Italy confirms tax cuts in 2024 budget plan
Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni announced Italy's budget plan on October 16th, 2023. (Photo by Tiziana FABI / AFP)

Announcing the draft budget bill for 2024, Meloni’s government on Monday morning unveiled a plan including some 24 billion euros in support for low- and medium-income families and companies after months of high inflation.

There was concern in the financial markets at the lack of focus on getting Italy’s public finances in order, but Meloni insisted at a press conference on Monday it was a budget that was “very serious and realistic and which does not waste resources, but concentrates them on the main priorities”.

KEY POINTS: How will Italy’s 2024 budget affect your finances?

These priorities included renewing a reduction in salary tax contributions for those earning up to 35,000 euros a year, at a cost of around 10 billion euros.

Meloni said this would put an average of 100 euros a month more into the pockets of 14 million Italian employees.

As part of its wider plan of promised tax reform, the government merged the first two tax brackets, meaning those earning up to 28,000 euros a year will benefit from a rate of 23 percent, down from 25 percent.

Meloni also outlined plans to address issues keeping a large number of women in Italy out of work, with her administration under pressure to help boost Italy’s low birth rate.

She said women with at least two children will be exempted from social security contributions, and promised “free” nursery places from the second child.

“We want to dismantle the narrative that says having children is a disincentive to work,” she said. “We want to encourage those who bring children into the world and who want to work”.

READ ALSO: What is Italy’s government doing about the falling birth rate?

Companies that hire mothers and young people will also pay reduced corporation tax, she said.

The measures, financed with 15.7 billion euros in additional debt and unspecified spending cuts, were intended to “defend the purchasing power of families”, the prime minister said.

Transport Minister Matteo Salvini appeared to state at the press conference that the budget included financing for his controversial plans to build a bridge over the Strait of Messina – a project that was abandoned by previous governments due to spiralling costs.

“I can announce that there is coverage for a fixed connection from Sicily, to Italy and to Europe,” Salvini said, though he didn’t specify where the funds would come from.

Commentators have warned of high public spending as the government seeks to fulfil electoral promises, particularly ahead of European Parliament elections next year.

Meloni drew praise for her cautious first budget, but commentators have warned of risks ahead as she and her partners seek to fulfil expensive promises, particularly ahead of European Parliament elections next year.

Nicola Nobile from Oxford Economics said Meloni’s government was showing its “true colours” with a “sharp shift in fiscal strategy”.

“The decision not to maintain a conservative fiscal approach will keep financial markets very nervous,” he said.

The draft budget bill will now be sent to Brussels for review before being voted on by Italy’s lower and upper houses of parliament, and it could face a long series of amendments before that process is complete.

Meloni last week urged lawmakers supporting her government to be “prudent” when presenting amendments to the bill.

Economy minister Giancarlo Giorgetti, one of the most moderate and pro-European members of the cabinet, has said it is not Brussels that worries him.

“What scares me is not the assessment of the EU but those of the markets who buy public debt,” he said in mid-September.

“Every morning I wake up and I have a problem — I have to sell (Italy’s) public debt and I have to convince people to have confidence.”

However, the increase in the deficit is mainly linked to ballooning costs of so-called superbonus scheme, a tax incentive for home renovations introduced in 2020, which Meloni said would cost Italy another 20 billion euros next year.

“The drift in Italy’s deficit … is largely due to the superbonus bill, which isn’t the responsibility of the current government,” said Gilles Moec, chief economist at Axa group.

However, he told AFP: “We do not detect any real desire on the part of Meloni’s government to control the deficit by renouncing certain electoral promises, such as the reduction in the tax burden.”

As a result of the government’s plans, Italy’s debt is forecast to fall only slightly, from 140.2 percent of GDP in 2023 to 139.6 percent in 2026.

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POLITICS

Italy PM states ‘determined’ support as Zelensky presses allies

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni reaffirmed her strong support for Ukraine Saturday after talks with President Volodymyr Zelensky, as he visited allies to press for more weapons to fight Russia.

Italy PM states 'determined' support as Zelensky presses allies

“We must not give up on Ukraine,” Meloni said after the meeting on the sidelines of an economic forum in Cernobbio, northern Italy, which focused on reconstruction and efforts to end the war with Russia.

Zelensky had on Friday addressed the European House-Ambrosetti forum, hours after pressing for more weapons at a meeting of allies at Ramstein Air Base in Germany, where Washington unveiled $250 million in new military aid.

Meloni’s government — which this year holds the rotating G7 presidency — has been among the strongest supporters of Ukraine since Russian forces invaded in February 2022.

READ ALSO: Zelensky meets Meloni in Italy, presses for more arms

But some members of her coalition government — notably League leader Matteo Salvini, who has a history of warm ties with Moscow — are less enthusiastic.

Rome has sent weapons to Kyiv, but has said these should be used only on Ukrainian territory, not to attack Russia itself.

In her address to the forum on Saturday, Meloni said the position of EU and NATO member Italy on Ukraine was “extremely serious, determined and clear”.

She addressed members of the Italian public who are “scared, legitimately worried about the war”, but urged them not to “fall into the trap of Russian propaganda” in believing Ukraine’s fate was sealed.

Helping Ukraine fight back against its vastly more powerful neighbour had created the “stalemate” conditions in which peace could be discussed, she said.

And she warned that allowing Ukraine to fall to Russian aggression “will not bring peace, it will bring chaos” and economic consequences “more serious that what it costs today to support Ukraine”.

More weapons

In Germany on Friday, where he also met Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Zelensky urged Kyiv’s supporters to provide more weapons and follow through on previous commitments, saying: “The number of air-defence systems that have not been delivered is significant.”

And after Ukraine’s surprise push into Russia’s Kursk region last month, he again called for restrictions to be lifted on the use of long-range Western weapons.

At Cernobbio, he assured Italy that the weapons would only be used to hit military targets.

In their talks Saturday, Meloni said she had also discussed with Zelensky a planned meeting in Italy next year on reconstructing Ukraine.

And she “reiterated the centrality of support for Ukraine in the agenda of the Italian G7 presidency”, according to her office.

“I thank Giorgia and the Italian people for their support and joint efforts in restoring a just peace,” the Ukrainian leader wrote on X after the talks, posting a video of the pair hugging.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban — who upset his EU counterparts and Zelensky by meeting Putin in Moscow in July — also addressed the Cernobbio forum on Friday.

The Ukrainian president rejected Orban’s calls for a ceasefire, saying that Putin had never respected earlier accords.

Zelensky’s visits to Italy and Germany came just days after one of the deadliest strikes of the war and as Russian forces make battlefield gains.

Some 55 people were killed and 300 wounded in a Russian missile strike on Tuesday on the city of Poltava.

Meanwhile Moscow’s forces advance in the Donbas, with Putin on Thursday declaring that capturing the eastern area was his “primary objective” in the conflict.

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