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WHAT CHANGES IN SWEDEN

On the agenda: What changes about life in Sweden in 2024?

With everything from work permit policies to Midsummer parties on the agenda, 2024 is bound to be an interesting year for Sweden.

On the agenda: What changes about life in Sweden in 2024?
Eurovision Song Contest is one of the events taking place in Sweden in 2024. Photo: Jessica Gow/Scanpix

January

The first public holiday of 2024 takes place on the first day of 2024. Here’s the full list of the rest of them.

The price of stamps will increase from January 1st. A letter weighing up to 50 gram will cost 18 kronor (or 36 kronor to send abroad) and a letter weighing up to 100 gram will cost 36 kronor.

January is a month when a lot of new laws usually come into force. We’ll cover these on The Local later this month.

Work permit holders may want to keep an eye on a new government inquiry which will release its report by January 31st. It’s expected to present suggestions for how Sweden could raise its work permit salary threshold to the median salary, and possibly also propose exceptions for certain jobs.

Sweden’s gender neutral parental leave insurance celebrates 50 years. It was introduced in 1974, for the first time enabling dads to receive benefits to stay at home with their young children. In its first year of existence, men claimed on average 0.5 percent of parental benefits. That share has since increased to 30 percent.

February

Sweden’s Riksbank will announce its next decision on the interest rate on February 1st. Experts are divided on whether it will raise the rate, leave it unchanged or lower it, with most currently leaning towards the latter two options. The interest rate was left unchanged at 4 percent in November.

Melodifestivalen, Sweden’s Eurovision trials, will kick off on February 3rd for five weeks of music, entertainment and fun – or a lifetime of earworms and wondering why you ever moved to Sweden.

Sweden’s annual book sale, when bookshops across the country sell books at reduced prices, will get under way on February 20th. Here’s a list of book recommendations from The Local’s archive.

The pensions agency starts sending out pension statements in January, with most people receiving them in February or March. You don’t need to do anything in response to them – it’s just a statement to keep you up to date – but if you want to plan your pension, there are a few tricks.

March

The clocks go forward one hour at 2am on March 31st and you’ll immediately notice that the evenings get longer. There are plans on an EU level to perhaps, maybe, some day scrap the change between winter and summer time, but it doesn’t appear to be happening soon.

Easter this year will take place at the end of March, with Swedish children starting the festivities by dressing up as witches and collecting pick ‘n’ mix for their Easter eggs on Maundy Thursday, March 28th. Good Friday, Easter Sunday and Easter Monday are public holidays.

April

If you don’t have to make any changes to your pre-printed Swedish tax declaration, submit it online by April 3rd and you will get any money you’re owed back in April. Here’s what you need to know about filing your Swedish taxes (note that the article contains the dates for 2023).

The Riksbank will announce another decision on the interest rate on April 26th.

The Swedish Scholastic Aptitude Test (SweSAT or högskoleprovet) will be held on April 13th. The exam is held twice a year and around 100,000 people usually sit it each year. It’s not compulsory, but many people use its results to get into university if they’re not able to do so on grades alone. It’s possible to sit the test even if you’re a foreign citizen without a Swedish personal number, but the test is held in Swedish apart from the section that tests participants on their English knowledge.

The last day of April is King Carl XVI Gustaf’s birthday (he will turn 78) but it’s also Walpurgis Night, when Swedes light bonfires and, if they’re university students, most likely get drunk.

May

The first day of May is Labour Day, which is marked by parties on the left side of the political spectrum organising May Day marches (förstamajparader). For something more bourgeois, head to Lund where the university choir will throw a concert to welcome spring.

If you’re sending in your tax declaration on paper rather than online, or if you had to make changes (for example if you sold property or applied for deductions), submit it by May 2nd at the latest.

Eurovision kicks off in Malmö on May 7th with the first semi-final, followed by the second semi-final on May 9th and the grand final on May 11th. Here’s what you need to know about visiting.

Järvaveckan (Järva Week) has grown to one of Sweden’s biggest political events in the last few years, with representatives from every major party attending. Held at the Spånga sports field in northern Stockholm, it is still young and vibrant enough to feel less elite than its older cousin, the Almedalsveckan (Almedalen Week) festival. This year it will take place from May 29th-June 1st.

The government has ordered Statistics Sweden and the National Board of Housing, Building and Planning to produce a list of “areas of exclusion” (utanförskapsområden) which will take factors such as benefits, crowded housing, election turnout, unemployment and crime into account. The first part of the report is to be presented by May 31st and the final report by October 15th.

June

June marks the start of Sweden’s famously long summer holidays.

Sweden Rock Festival in Sölvesborg comes highly recommended if you’re into rock music. Put June 5th-8th in your calendar.

Sweden’s National Day falls on June 6th. In 2024, it’s on a Thursday, so if you also book the Friday off you can get four interrupted days of holiday for only the “price” of one day of annual leave.

If you submitted your tax declaration by May 2nd, you will get any rebates you’re owed by June 4th-7th.

The elections for the European Parliament, which are held every five years, will take place on June 9th. If you’re an EU citizen over the age of 18, you can vote in the European elections in Sweden.

Speaking of Almedalen Week, it will be held on the island of Gotland between June 25th and 28th. Interest in the event has been declining in recent years, but some 40,000 people still attend every year, 95 percent of them coming from outside Gotland, where hotel prices shoot up every summer. 

On June 29th, the Riksbank will announce its third interest rate update of the year.

The most important date for many Swedes this month is likely to be Midsummer’s Eve on June 21st. It’s traditionally a day spent in the countryside, eating pickled herring, drinking snaps and dancing around the Maypole. This is also the last public holiday before Christmas, so make the most of it.

July

July 1st is another date when a lot of new laws usually come into force in Sweden. We will cover these on The Local in the new year.

August

The autumn semester in schools and universities gets under way in August and early September, although the exact date depends on where in Sweden you live. Slowly, Swedes return to their workplaces from their summer cottages and it’s possible to get hold of them again.

Way out West is one of the most popular music festivals in Sweden. It will take place from August 8th-10th in Gothenburg.

Malmöfestivalen is one of the biggest events in Malmö (this year bested by Eurovision!). Head to the southern Swedish city for music, food and entertainment between August 9th and 16th.

September

The Swedish parliament will reopen on September 10th after the summer recess.

The government has until September 20th to submit its annual budget bill to parliament.

On September 21st, the Riksbank will announce its fourth interest rate update of the year.

October

This year’s Nobel laureates will be announced in early October.

On October 27th, it’s time to turn the clocks back for winter time.

November

The deadline for paying any tax arrears you owe is November 12th for most people.

On November 23rd, the Riksbank will announce its fifth and final interest rate update of the year.

December

Christmas season is again upon us. The most important dates in the Swedish calendar are the four days of Advent on every Sunday in the run-up to Christmas, Lucia on December 13th and Christmas Eve on December 24th. Did you know that thanks to how the public holidays fall in 2024, you can get 12 days off at Christmas this year despite only using up three days of your annual leave?

Sweden’s annual mellandagsrea (the post-Christmas sale) kicks off on December 26th.

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MONEY

Why the Swedish krona is expected to strengthen in the year ahead

In the last decade, the Swedish krona has generally been weak against major currencies like the US dollar and the euro. However, some analysts believe it may strengthen in the coming year.

Why the Swedish krona is expected to strengthen in the year ahead

In recent months, the Swedish krona has faced significant fluctuations against major currencies.

On June 28th, the krona lost ground following a softer-than-expected interest rate policy statement from Sweden’s central bank, Sveriges Riksbank.

After a rate cut in May (the first one since 2016), the Riksbank recently also indicated that interest rates could be reduced three more times by the end of 2024.

This announcement led to immediate reactions in the currency market.

The euro-krona exchange rate increased to 11.33 from 11.29 (meaning that you now need 11.33 kronor to buy one euro), while the pound-to-krona exchange rate rose to 13.40 from 13.34.

Despite this, some analysts believe the Swedish krona is poised for a rebound in the year ahead.

The krona’s long downward trend

In a recent report, Rory Fennessy, a senior economist at the advisory firm Oxford Economics, pointed out that the Swedish krona appeared undervalued.

Despite its underlying strengths, such as consistent trade surpluses (where Sweden’s exports exceed its imports), high productivity, solid public finances, and a credible central bank, the krona has been on a long downward trend.

Identifying a single reason for this persistent weakness over the past decade is a challenging affair.

Negative interest rates, which the Riksbank implemented in the late 2010s to achieve its inflation target, are often mentioned as an important factor.

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However, this explanation mainly accounts for the weakness against the US dollar. Around the same time, the European Central Bank (ECB) also had negative rates, yet, as Fennessy pointed out, the krona still weakened against the euro.

More recently, the Riksbank’s response to the inflation surge since 2021 has further weakened the krona.

“We think the Riksbank was slow to respond to the recent inflation shock. As late as February 2022, the Riksbank signaled in its official forecast that the policy rate would stay at zero until 2025. But by this point, broad price pressures were gaining momentum in the economy,” Fennessy said.

“At the next policy meeting in April 2022, the Riksbank started the hiking cycle, contrary to its earlier guidance, and has been playing catch up since.”

The currency roller coaster and interest rate cuts

This year, the Swedish krona has experienced significant ups and downs against major currencies.

According to Oxford Economics, this volatility has been caused by a mix of global factors and domestic events in Sweden.

Without these factors, the krona would likely have been more stable. 

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While inflation in Sweden is near the Riksbank’s target, the high real interest rates are hurting economic activity.

Therefore, experts expect the Riksbank to continue cautiously lowering interest rates, using this as the main tool to manage the exchange rate.

A year of gains for the Swedish krona?

After a period of significant volatility, the Swedish krona is expected to gain support from decreasing domestic risks and positive external developments, according to Oxford Economics.

“The Nordic currencies have been highly volatile this year. The Swedish krona and Norwegian krone both depreciated sharply until May but have since regained much of their losses,” said Fennessy.

“We believe both the Swedish krona and Norwegian krone will appreciate gradually this year and over the medium term, but there may be bumps along the way due to external factors and unexpected data.”

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Earlier this year, the Swedish krona weakened due to stronger-than-expected US economic activity and inflation. This led to changes in interest rate expectations and negatively affected Nordic currencies.

However, recent US economic data has been weaker, and Nordic central banks have adopted stricter policies to protect their exchange rates.

According to Oxford Economics, coordinated interest rate easing across these regions should help reduce external pressures.

The road ahead

Since early May, the Swedish krona has strengthened by 4.5 percent against the euro, even though the Riksbank cut interest rates before the European Central Bank did.

At the same time, lower-than-expected US inflation and weaker economic activity have reduced expectations for interest rate hikes in the US.

These changes in global economic data and risk sentiment have been among the main drivers of the krona’s recent ups and downs.

According to the Oxford Economics report, the Riksbank has regained its credibility now that inflation is near its target, and the next challenge is for the bank to ease its monetary policy at a pace that supports the economy without causing too much volatility in the currency.

This balance is crucial for maintaining economic stability, Fennessy noted.

Looking ahead, the economic advisory firm expects that the krona will hold onto its recent gains and could appreciate by another 2 percent against the euro in 2025 – as long as there are no unexpected economic shocks.

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