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BUSINESS

India among top investment destinations for Swedish companies

Saudi Arabia, the UAE and India are the top investment destinations for Swedish companies, meaning that businesses are planning on increasing their investments in these markets over the next 12 months.

India among top investment destinations for Swedish companies
India was identified as a country where the Swedish brand had a positive effect on business for Swedish companies. Photo: Rajanish Kakade/AP/TT

“The stars are aligned for India. They have got a lot of internal investment programmes started, have acquired internal stability and managed to navigate the geopolitical situation in such a way that no one has any doubts any longer,” said Business Sweden CEO Jan Larsson.

Swedish businesses are in general less optimistic than last year about the global business scene, due to a struggling European economy and escalating trade wars between the US and China, according to a new Global Business Climate Survey 2024 by Business Sweden.

Despite this, many of the 24 countries in the report maintained a generally positive outlook, with scores over 3 on a 5-point scale, where 1 equals very poor and 5 very good. 

Overall, just six percent of respondents perceived the business climate as very good, 31 percent as good, 45 percent as neutral, 15 percent as poor and 2 percent as very poor.

There are also some markets where sentiment has improved slightly since last year: Brazil, South Africa, South Korea, the UK and Spain. 

At the other end of the scale, interest in investing in giant markets such as China and Germany appears to be on the wane, along with Taiwan and Mexico.

“Doing business in Germany comes with a lot of administrative work compared to Sweden, which is time consuming and costly,” EWAB Engineering GmbH managing director Fredrik Almcrantz said in the report. “Digitalisation doesn’t replace paperwork related to compliance with rules and regulations, it is just an added layer on top of traditional routines.”

Almost a third (65 percent) of Swedish businesses surveyed expect revenue to grow and plan to increase their global investments in the year ahead. A clear majority (70 percent) of companies were profitable last year, while 12 percent reached break-even and 13 percent reported negative results.

The Netherlands and France had the highest percentage of profitable Swedish companies, while the highest share of companies making a loss were reported in South Korea and Germany.

India, the United Arab Emirates, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia are among the countries on the list identified as having the most favourable business climates for Swedish companies, while Germany, Mexico and the Netherlands were rated lowest on the list.

India, Brazil and Indonesia also had the highest share of companies saying that the Swedish brand contributes “to an extent or great extent” to their success in those markets. At the other end of the scale were the United States, Canada and Saudi Arabia.

“In the Indonesian market, Swedish products are generally considered to be high quality, robust and durable,” said M. Syahrul Mohideen, area sales manager at ScanBox Thermoproducts AB.

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MONEY

Why Swedish interest rates might not drop until autumn

The Swedish central bank on Thursday left the key interest rate unchanged at 3.75 percent, while adding that it might lower rates three times this year, rather than two as previously predicted.

Why Swedish interest rates might not drop until autumn

On the surface, it looks like the Riksbank should be cutting the so-called policy rate – inflation fell last month and is nearing the bank’s 2 percent target.

However, the bigger picture is more complicated.

Yes, inflation according to the CPIF measurement, which essentially means the effects of mortgage rates are removed, dropped to 2.3 percent last month, and since autumn, inflation figures have been lower than the Riksbank’s predictions.

However, inflation when considering CPIF with the effect of energy prices removed currently stands at 3 percent, which is higher than expected, and the Riksbank is wary of cutting the key interest rate by too much too soon.

It’s not all bad news. The bank indicated in a press statement that it could lower the policy rate by more than originally predicted this year, based on other economic indicators.

“Given that inflation is fundamentally developing favourably, economic activity is assessed to be somewhat weaker, and the krona exchange rate is a little stronger, the forecast for the policy rate has been adjusted down somewhat,” the bank wrote.

“If inflation prospects remain the same, the policy rate can be cut two or three times during the second half of the year.”

The next rate announcement will be on August 20th, and although the Riksbank has said there could be one more cut to the interest rate this year than previously expected, it hasn’t said whether this will occur in August or later on in the year. Rate decisions are scheduled for September 25th, November 7th and December 18th.

If the bank skips a rate cut in August, it looks relatively likely that it will cut rates in September instead.

There are some caveats, though. Factors like the inflation rate elsewhere, geopolitical unease, the krona’s exchange rate and the rate of recovery in the Swedish economy can all affect future policy rate changes, for better or worse.

Why is the policy rate important?

Well, it’s the bank’s main monetary policy tool. It decides which rates Swedish banks can deposit in and borrow money from the Riksbank, which in turn affects the banks’ own interest rates on savings, loans and mortgages.

If bank interest rates are high, it’s expensive to borrow money, which means people spend less and as a result inflation drops.

Now that inflation is on the way down, the Riksbank can lessen the pressure on households by lowering the rate, but they don’t want to do that too fast in case consumption rises too fast, pushing up inflation again.

 

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