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ELECTIONS

French parties in final push for votes ahead of snap elections

France's political forces are making a final bid on Friday for votes in crunch legislative elections that could see the far right take control of the government in a historic first.

French parties in final push for votes ahead of snap elections
A demonstrator during an anti far-right rally ahead of the French elections. Photo by Frederick FLORIN / AFP

The official campaigning period ends at midnight on Friday, followed by a day off on Saturday, during which political activity is forbidden ahead of voting on Sunday. Another week of campaigning will then lead up to the decisive second round on July 7th.

The far-right Rassemblement National (RN) is tipped to win the election, potentially giving the party the post of prime minister for the first time in its history in a tense “cohabitation” with centrist President Emmanuel Macron.

What’s at stake for foreigners in France if far-right Jordan Bardella becomes prime minister?

“Of course, I want to avoid the extremes, especially the far right, being able to win” the ballot, Macron’s Prime Minister Gabriel Attal told broadcaster BFMTV on Friday.

Opinion polls suggest his centrist alliance will come only third behind the RN and a broad but fragile left-wing coalition, the Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP).

The RN party chief, Jordan Bardella, 28, would have a chance to lead a government as prime minister.

But he has insisted he would do so only if his party wins an absolute majority – 289 of the 577 seats in the National Assembly – after the second round.

His party’s path to victory could be blocked if the left and centre-right join forces against the RN in the second round of voting.

Macron has caused controversy in the past two weeks by placing the left and the far-right on the same footing, labelling both “extremes”.

Speaking in Brussels on Thursday, however, he suggested that he would support moderate leftists against the far-right in the second round.

Macron also blasted the “arrogance” of the far right, which had “already allocated all the (government) jobs” before the election and questioned the president’s constitutional role as military commander in chief.

“Who are they to explain what the constitution should say?” he asked.

The RN’s three-time presidential candidate Marine Le Pen had ratcheted up tensions by saying that the president’s commander-in-chief title was purely “honorific”.

In the event of Macron having to share power with an RN-led government, “it’s the prime minister who holds the purse strings”, she warned.

In a televised debate on Thursday night, Attal said that Le Pen’s remarks sent a “very serious message for the security of France.”

Bardella sought to reassure voters about his party’s foreign policy, saying in the debate he would “not let Russian imperialism absorb an allied state like Ukraine”.

He said he was also opposed to sending longer range missiles to Ukraine that could hit Russian territory “and place France and the French in a situation of co-belligerence”.

“My compass is the interest of France and the French,” said Bardella.

Macron has insisted he will serve out the remainder of his second term until it expires in 2027, no matter which party emerges on top in the coming legislative contest.

Le Pen, whom opponents have long accused of having too cosy a relationship with the Kremlin, senses that this could be her best-ever chance to win the Elysée Palace after three previous attempts.

When he called the snap vote after a June 9th European Parliament election drubbing by the RN, Macron had hoped to present voters with a stark choice about whether to hand France to the far right.

An Opinionway poll of 1,058 people published Friday in business daily Les Echos predicted the RN would win 37 percent of the vote, the NFP 28 percent and Macron’s alliance just 20 percent.

In the second round, the RN “can not only envisage a relative majority, but we cannot exclude, far from it, an absolute majority,” Brice Teinturier, deputy director of competing pollster Ipsos, told AFP.

The televised debate, where Attal and Bardella were joined by Socialist leader Olivier Faure, was as ill-tempered as the first such session on Tuesday.

Attal charged that 100 RN candidates standing in the election had made “racist, anti-Semitic and homophobic comments.”

“Everything is false, utterly false,” responded Bardella, who also defended a controversial proposal to bar dual nationals from sensitive state posts.

Underscoring the stakes felt by many in France from ethnic minority backgrounds, French basketball superstar Victor Wembanyama said “for me it is important to take a distance from extremes, which are not the direction to take for a country like ours”.

He joins a host of other French sports, music and acting stars who have spoken out against the far right.

How to follow all the latest French election news in English this weekend

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ELECTIONS

French elections: Deadline for candidates to drop out in order to block far-right

Candidates in France face a Tuesday deadline to register for the run-off round of a high-stakes parliamentary election, as President Emmanuel Macron's centrist camp and the left-wing alliance scrambled to prevent the far right from taking power.

French elections: Deadline for candidates to drop out in order to block far-right

On Sunday, French people go to polls for the decisive final round of the snap election Macron called after his camp received a drubbing in European elections last month.

His gamble appears to have backfired, with the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) of Marine Le Pen scoring a victory in the first round of voting last Sunday.

Macron’s centrists trailed in third place behind the left-wing Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP) alliance.

Listen to the team from The Local discussing all the election latest on the Talking France podcast. Download here or listen on the link below

Faced with the prospect of the far right taking power in France for the first time since the country’s occupation by Nazi Germany during World War II, Macron’s camp has begun cooperating with the NFP.

The rivals are hoping that tactical voting will prevent the RN winning the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority – especially in the ‘triangulaires or three-way second round contests.

Candidates have the right to withdraw between the rounds and in constituencies that face a three-way run-off between candidates are the far-right, the centre and the left the third-placed candidate is being urged to drop out in order to avod splitting the anti far-right vote.

The deadline to decide whether to stand down is 6pm on Tuesday. According to a provisional count by AFP, at least 200 left-wing or centrist candidates have already dropped out.

Although NPF leaders immediately said that they would withdraw candidates, the Macron camp said only that withdrawals would be made on a ‘case by case’ basis.

Speaking to broadcaster TF1 on Monday evening, Prime Minister Gabriel Attal once again urged voters not to give the far-right an absolute majority.

“That would be catastrophic for the French,” he said, adding that the far-right would fuel divisions in society.

Third-place candidates who qualified for the second round have been urged to drop out to present a united front against the far right.

Meanwhile an RN candidate has withdrawn from the race after photos surfaced of her wearing a Nazi cap. Ludivine Daoudi on Sunday came third in her district in the northwestern area of Calvados, but a photo of her allegedly wearing a cap from the Luftwaffe air force of Nazi Germany sparked controversy online.

“Only a strong republican front, uniting the left, centre and conservatives, can keep the far right at bay and prevent France from tipping over,” daily Le Monde said in an editorial.

Le Pen has urged voters to give the RN an absolute majority, which would see Jordan Bardella, the 28-year-old RN chief with no governing experience, become prime minister.

READ ALSO Will the far-right get a majority in the French parliament?

But most projections show the RN falling short of an absolute majority – although the final outcome remains far from certain.

The RN garnered 33 percent of the vote last Sunday, compared to 28 percent for the NFP alliance and just over 20 percent for Macron’s camp.

Speaking on television on Monday night, Bardella derided efforts by Macron’s camp and the left-wing coalition to put up a united front, suggesting that the “dishonourable” alliance had been formed out of desperation.

He accused the French president of coming “to the rescue of a violent extreme-left movement” he himself had denounced just days ago.

Macron convened a cabinet meeting Monday to decide a further course of action.

“Let’s not be mistaken. It’s the far right that’s on its way to the highest office, no one else,” he said at the meeting, according to one participant.

The emotion was palpable, with several ministers dropping out of the race.

“We’ve known happier meetings,” one minister told Le Monde.

France’s Euro 2024 star Jules Kounde was the latest football player to call on voters to block the far-right.

“Obviously I was disappointed to see the direction our country is taking with a big level of support for a party that is against our values of unity and respect, and that wants to divide the French people,” said Kounde, the 25-year-old Barcelona defender.

“Nothing is decided yet, and I think it will be important to block the far right and the RN,” he added, after France beat Belgium 1-0 in Duesseldorf to reach the Euro 2024 quarter-finals.

OPINION: The best France can hope for now is 12 months of chaos

Analysts say the most likely outcome of the snap election is a hung parliament that could lead to months of political paralysis and chaos.

With a total of 76 candidates elected outright in the first round, the final composition of the 577-seat National Assembly will be clear only after the second round.

If the RN takes an absolute majority and Bardella becomes prime minister, this would create a tense period of “cohabitation” with Macron, who has vowed to serve out his term until 2027.

The election results fuelled fresh criticism of Macron’s decision to call the vote in the first place, a move he took with only a tight circle of advisors.

The chaos risks damaging the international credibility of Macron, who is set to attend a NATO summit in Washington immediately after the vote.

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