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PROPERTY

Swedish house prices rose ‘considerably more than normal’ in June

Swedish property prices rose for the sixth consecutive month in June, while prices for detached homes rose more than normal for this time of year.

Swedish house prices rose 'considerably more than normal' in June
Prices for 'villor', or detached homes, went up more than expected in June, which is usually a sleepy month on the property market. Photo: Janerik Henriksson/TT

Figures from state-owned mortgage bank SBAB and property site Booli indicate an increase of 0.2 percent in June, or 0.5 percent if adjusted for seasonal effects. In other words, property prices have increased 6.6 percent since the turn of the year, buoyed by falling interest rates.

“The balance sheet for house prices won’t be finalised until the end of the year, but we can already say that property prices in June developed more strongly than what is normal for this time of year,” SBAB’s chief economist Robert Boije wrote in a statement.

Activity usually slows during the summer months, as Swedes head off on their holidays in June and July.

The price of a detached house rose 0.3 percent in June and 0.6 percent for apartments, adjusted for seasonal effects.

“In June, prices for detached houses rise much more than normal for this time of year, unlike what we saw in May. Similarly to the situation for apartments, it will now be interesting to follow how a potentially pent-up need to move house affects property prices in relation to the large amount of detached homes on the market,” Boije said.

Apartment prices in particular could be affected in the long-term as housing associations change their monthly fees following two years of increased interest rates, Boije said.

“The rise in interest rates over the past two years has probably had a greater impact on detached houses than on apartments, as many associations have not yet raised monthly fees in line with the rise in interest rates. It is possible that this indicates a stronger relative price trend for houses in the second half of the year,” he said.

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Will the rise of food prices in Sweden slow down this year?

While food prices in Sweden have surged in recent years, inflation now seems to be slowing down. The Local talks to a financial expert for his predictions on price trends for the rest of the year.

Will the rise of food prices in Sweden slow down this year?

Between August 2021 and May 2024, food prices in Sweden have surged by around 25 percent, according to Statistics Sweden (SCB).

This increase has been especially pronounced in specific categories like fruits, vegetables, and dairy products.

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Some items, such as cauliflower and sugar, have become as much as 70 percent more expensive. Honeydew melon prices have increased by 65.3 percent, and fresh salmon has seen a 61.6 percent rise.

Inflation, which has remained above the central bank’s target of two percent for almost three years, is now approaching normal levels.

At the same time, the rapid increase in food prices has begun to slow down, with recent months showing stabilisation.

But will this development hold throughout 2024?

An expert’s take on 2024 food prices in Sweden

Despite the increases in food prices in recent years, Arturo Arques, a private economist at Swedbank, told The Local Sweden that the outlook for the rest of 2024 is currently more optimistic.

“We believe that food prices will follow the general price trend in Sweden,” Arques said.

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“While some factors like fuel, energy, grain, and mineral fertiliser costs typically lead to higher food prices, we expect relatively stable prices for the remainder of the year,” he added, noting that Swedbank expects food price development to align with the general price development in Sweden.

“We believe that inflation will continue to fall and land close to the Swedish central bank’s inflation target of two percent later this year.”

Lack of competition affecting prices

Last month, the Swedish Competition Authority (Konkurrensverket) announced that price increases for consumers in the country have been higher than those for grocery stores.

The lack of competition in the grocery industry is a significant factor behind this discrepancy, Martin Bäckström of the Swedish Competition Authority told Swedish national public television broadcaster SVT in late June.

“If the competition had worked better, we don’t think the prices would have been as high,” Bäckström said.

He highlighted that the Swedish grocery industry has too few players and too many obstacles for new entrants, which limits competition and keeps prices high.

Bäckström provided an example with butter: during the period measured, the trade price increased by 28 kronor, but the consumer price went up by 36 kronor.

According to the competition authorities, this difference indicates that the cost increases are not entirely justified by trade costs alone.

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