Over three weeks France – and much of the world – was busy being enthralled by the Paris Olympics. From the beautiful venues to the astonishing sporting feats and the general sense of joie de vivre, it was a very happy period.
But now the Olympics are over (although the Paralympics start soon) and France must again face its lack of a government.
What happened again?
In case a newly-acquired knowledge of the rules of competition skateboarding has caused you to forget, here’s a brief recap of where we were politically when the Games began at the end of July.
A parliamentary election, hastily called by Emmanuel Macron, resulted in an inconclusive result in which no party or group won a majority in the Assemblée nationale in the second round of voting on July 7th.
Instead three blocks emerged – the Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP) left alliance with 193, centrists including Macron’s party on 164 and the far-right Rassemblement National on 143. No party came even close to the 289 seats required for a majority.
Things drifted for a while as it became obvious that not only did no party have a majority, but no-one had any immediate prospects of forming an alliance or coalition that would take them to the magic 289 seats.
On July 17th, Macron formally accepted the resignation of prime minister Gabriel Attal and his government, but asked them all to stay on in ‘caretaker’ roles until a new government could be created.
The caretaker government has been in power ever since – it can take decisions in case of emergency or urgent need, but has severely limited powers.
READ ALSO How does France’s caretaker government work?
Then what happened?
The Olympics started. Although no-one actually agreed to a political ‘truce’ the French public and French media seemed very happy to be distracted from this ongoing mess and instead focus on sport.
It helped that the Paris Olympics were a big success – the city looked gorgeous, French athletes won plenty and the whole country was in an unusually good mood.
But the politicians were still working behind the scenes, right?
There doesn’t seem to be much evidence of this. Most of the cabinet immediately decamped to the Games and were pictured cheering on French athletes and generally having fun.
Macron himself appears to have loved the Games – he attended multiple events, embraced French athletes and the closest he appears to have got to politics was attending the France-USA basketball final with the American ‘second gentleman’ Doug Emhoff.
Finals after finals… the USA and France! Vive les Jeux de Paris 🇺🇸🇫🇷 pic.twitter.com/UTlEraXVdY
— Douglas Emhoff (@SecondGentleman) August 11, 2024
Meanwhile other ministers decamped to the seaside or the country for their traditional summer holidays.
The politicians of the leftist NFP continued to bang the drum for a new government, especially their eventual pick for prime minister Lucie Castets, who has been touring France introducing herself to the people and generally giving the vibe of a politician on the campaign trail.
Chez Duralex, fleuron français sauvé par ses salariés grâce à une mobilisation collective.
Nous devons reconnaître la réalité du travail industriel et écouter ce que salariés et syndicats ont à dire.
Notre cap : améliorer les salaires, l'organisation du travail et la retraite. pic.twitter.com/mQQSeE53qX
— Lucie Castets (@CastetsLucie) July 31, 2024
So what now?
The Olympics are over and the Paralympics, while likely to be a fantastic sporting spectacle, probably won’t be accepted as an excuse to continue the drift.
Although the usual sleepy August spirit has seized much of the country, some politicians have returned to the fray – on Tuesday, Attal proposed to the various parties of the French parliament that they ‘build a legislative compromise’ with a left-to-right spectrum of parties, but excluding the far-right Rassemblement National and the far-left La France Insoumise.
This is basically what the Macronists were proposing before the Olympics, and it remains to be seen whether they will find enough (or any) parties willing to agree to join, and who could be acceptable to all parties as a candidate for prime minister. Meanwhile the NFP continues to insist that as the largest group it has the right to nominate a prime minister, the aforementioned Castets.
So who’s in charge?
Macron remains president, with the wide-ranging powers afforded to him by the French constitution, but when it comes to government it’s still in caretaker mode, with Attal as a caretaker PM with limited powers.
How will this go on for?
Well, the Constitution does not provide any kind of limit for how long a caretaker government can remain in place, nor does Macron have a constitutional deadline by which to name a prime minister.
However, Macron did announce on Friday that he would be holding a series of meetings with other group leaders on Friday, August 23rd after which he may, possibly, name a new prime minister.
This is not guaranteed, however and it’s possible that this could drag on until September.
One thing we do know – parliamentary elections are limited to once every 12 months, so there cannot be another one until June 2025.
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