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ECONOMY

Economic downturn hasn’t stopped Swedes from borrowing

Despite higher interest rates, rising prices, and signs of slowing economy, Swedes have yet to curb their borrowing habits, according to new statistics.

Economic downturn hasn't stopped Swedes from borrowing

In June of this year, Sweden’s four major banks (Swedbank, Handelsbanken, SEB and Nordea) loaned 6.25 billion kronor ($1.03 billion) for such things as housing purchases, private borrowing, and corporate loans, according to statistics from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (Finansinspektionen – FI) compiled by the Dagens Nyheter (DN) newspaper.

The figure represents a 15.8 percent increase in lending from the previous year, a rate above the annual 4-15 percent growth rate which Sweden has had in recent years.

Experts are concerned that if the trend continues, Swedish consumers will find themselves squeezed by the rising cost of debt, which could then also further exacerbate problems in the overall economy.

“Despite that we are heading toward worse economic conditions and higher interest rates, there is no sign of a reduction in lending,” said Staffan Boström, an analyst at Finansinspektionen, to DN.

“Prices have increased for a long time, lending has increased for a long time, and now there is a risk that things will turn and credit losses may also start to increase.”

As in other parts of the world, increased lending in Sweden has been caused in large part by a steady rise in housing prices over the last few years.

While the rise in Swedish home values has leveled off, Boström points out that Sweden has so far escaped the kind of significant drop in real estate prices which has affected the United States and other parts of Europe.

But he adds that Swedish borrowers still have reason for concern.

“It’s quite likely that this effect is going to hit Sweden. Then lending will slow down,” he told DN.

According to Elisabeth Hedmark, an economist at the Länsförsäkringar banking and insurance group, part of the reason lending has yet to decrease may simply be that Swedes have yet to change their consumption habits.

“We’ve had extremely high consumption for awhile and it might be hard to adjust to new times,” she told DN.

Hedmark added, however that in general Swedes have sufficient financial buffers in place.

“But for those on the margins it’s important to review their expenses and see where they can make reductions.”

For members

SWISS ALPS

Why luxury Swiss mountain resorts are becoming ‘lifeless’

Properties are expensive — and getting even more so — in many parts of Switzerland. But the situation is especially dire in chic mountain resorts, where the cost of holiday apartments has soared substantially. This is having an impact on the local population.

Why luxury Swiss mountain resorts are becoming 'lifeless'

In the past several years, the already pricey holiday homes in the Swiss Alps have become 30 percent more expensive, according to a new UBS report analysing 140,000 properties in the mountain resorts of Switzerland, France, and Austria.

Swiss towns, however, are the most expensive of the lot, having taken nearly all the top spots in the ranking.

Verbier, in canton of Valais,  is in the first place — the price for a square metre of living space in this resort town now costs over 21,500 francs.

St. Moritz in Graubünden is a close second (21,200 francs for sq/m), followed by Zermatt (19, 900), Gstaad (19,700), and Andermatt (18,000).

By comparison, the per-square-metre price (in Swiss francs) in the most expensive ‘foreign’ resort — Kitzbühel, Austria — is 16,200, and in the highest-priced French resort, Courchevel, 13,500.

Mountain villages are certainly picturesque and offer many skiing and hiking opportunities for sports enthusiasts, but these are not the only reasons for the influx of well-heeled residents.

This trend took off during the Covid pandemic, when numerous city dwellers wanted to escape farther away into the ‘nature’ and be able to work from home.

What does this all mean?

Getting a top franc for their property is enticing to many homeowners, who can cash in and make a good profit.

And having affluent taxpayers move in boosts local economy, which means that everyone living in the community benefits at the end.
 
“This generally supports the municipal finances which, in turn, raises the scope for infrastructure investments and thus increases the attractiveness of a destination for second home owners,” UBS said in its report.

However,  like the proverbial double-edged sword, high property prices also have a negative side.

For instance, as the wealthy move in and prices go up, the lower and middle-class people who may have lived in these mountain communities for generations — running local shops, restaurants, ski lifts, and other essential businesses — can no longer afford to live there and are forced to move out.
 
While there are no official statistics  showing how many people move away from these resorts for financial reasons, anecdotal evidence indicates this phenomenon does exist. 

One of many such testimonies comes from Graubünden’s Engadin region. 

“Locals have sold historic Engadin houses to wealthy owners, who in turn converted them and used them as holiday homes, becoming popular retreats that are often empty in the off-season,” according to Anna Florin movement, which encourages villagers to withstand the pressure from the real estate agents to sell their properties.
 
 “Life in the village is therefore dwindling or disappearing completely.”

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